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Analysts at KRChoksey Shares and Securities said they like the company’s ability to deliver a strong topline as well as profitability improvement even in a difficult year. The cigarette business continues to benefit from taking a share away from illicit trade, a stable tax structure, and premiumization. The FMCG business has strengthened its topline and profitability in a year where inflation impacted demand for the industry.
“We like the margin trajectory of the cigarettes, FMCG and hotels business. We expect the margin profile of the packaging business to improve from the dip seen in Q4FY23 driven by new growth vectors, increased value addition and capacity utilization. We revise our EBITDA estimates upward for the FMCG and hotels businesses,” the brokerage said in its March quarter result update. It maintained ‘buy’ rating on ITC with a target price of Rs 492 per share.
Analyst at BOB Capital Markets also expect ITC to sustain its strong growth momentum across categories and accordingly model for a revenue/EBITDA/PAT CAGR of 14 per cent/16 per cent/16 per cent over FY22-FY25.
The cigarettes business continues to deliver double-digit volume growth and market share gains in the absence of competition from illicit trade, even as the recent tax hike is unlikely to dent sales. The FMCG – others segment too has registered healthy growth across markets and portfolios, and we expect margins to improve as input costs soften, the brokerage said. It maintains BUY rating on ITC with a higher target price of Rs 486 (earlier Rs 459).
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