India Growth Rate

18 growth arenas McKinsey says could fuel India's global rise by 2040

India's 18 future arenas - from EVs and semiconductors to AI and space - could drive 30% of its GDP growth by 2040, making the country a global hub for innovation, tech, and industrial leadership

Fitch Ratings raises India's average growth potential to 6.4% till 2028

Fitch Ratings on Thursday raised India's average annual growth potential till 2028 to 6.4 per cent, from 6.2 per cent estimated in November 2023. "The Indian economy bounced back more strongly than we expected at the time of the 2023 report, suggesting a less adverse "scarring" impact from the pandemic shock," Fitch said while updating the five-year-ahead potential GDP projections. In its updated forecast, Fitch upped India's average growth estimate for 2023-2028 to 6.4 per cent, from 6.2 per cent. It said Fitch Ratings has slightly lowered its medium-term potential GDP projections over the next five years for the 10 emerging market economies covered in the Global Economic Outlook (GEO). "Our new projection sees growth at 3.9 per cent on a GDP weighted basis, down from 4 per cent in our previous assessment published in November 2023," it said, adding that "Our unweighted average EM10 potential growth projection is 3.1 per cent, just higher than the 2023 report.

S&P Global Ratings cuts India's FY26 growth rate by 20 basis points to 6.3%

S&P cites US tariff shocks and rising global uncertainty as reasons for trimming India's FY26 growth projection to 6.3 per cent and FY27 estimate to 6.5 per cent

S&P lowers India's growth forecast for FY26 by 20 basis points to 6.5%

The update assumes the upcoming monsoon season will be normal and that commodity - especially crude - prices will be soft

Surpassing Japan, India to become 4th largest economy by 2026: PHDCCI

India's economy is expected to become the fourth largest in the world by 2026, surpassing Japan, said industry body PHDCCI on Wednesday, as it projected the nation's GDP to grow 6.8 per cent in the current financial year ending March and 7.7 per cent in FY26. With the Indian economy growing resiliently over the past three years, it is expected to become the fourth largest economy in the world by 2026, surpassing Japan, said Hemant Jain, President, PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry. Ahead of the Budget, the industry chamber also said the peak rate of income tax, which is currently applicable at 30 per cent on income above Rs 15 lakh, should be applied only to individuals having income above Rs 40 lakh, whereas the income tax exemption limit should be increased to Rs 10 lakh, arguing that boosting consumption through more disposable income in the hands of people is essential. Besides, the PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry (PHDCCI) expects the Reserve Bank to slash the bench-mark

India's youth will drive its rise to becoming developed by 2047: PM Modi

Prime Minister Narendra Modi asserted on Sunday that the capabilities of India's young population will power the country's rise to becoming developed. Addressing the Viksit Bharat Young Leaders Dialogue here, he said some people may find the goal of India becoming developed difficult but it is not impossible. No power can stop India from becoming a developed country if the spirit of 'Viksit Bharat' guides its every step, policy and decision, he said, highlighting the strength and numbers of the country's young population. "Big targets have to be set for a country to march forward... This is what today's India is doing," Modi said, adding that the country is accomplishing numerous goals in different sectors ahead of time. India has set the target of 20 per cent ethanol blending in petrol by 2030 and will meet the goal before that, he said. The prime minister added that the government alone cannot drive the country forward and told youngsters drawn from across the country that the .

Growth likely slowed in Q2 but no significant downside risk in FY25: DEA

India's economic growth may have slowed in the September quarter, but overall there is not much downside risk to 6.5-7 per cent growth in the current fiscal year, Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth said on Wednesday. Seth said while some goods and services may not have have grown at the same pace as in the last year in the second quarter of the current fiscal year, data on e-way bills and e-invoices does not indicate any significant downside possibility to the full year 6.5-7 per cent growth projected in the Economic Survey. The secretary also said food prices have been a concern but other than that, inflation is not a challenge for India. On capex, Seth said the government's capital expenditure may see some undershooting of the Rs 11.11 lakh crore in the current fiscal year. But the capex will be higher than Rs 9.5 lakh crore in the last fiscal year. "We started the year with estimates in the economic survey of 6.5-7 per cent growth. I don't see any significant downside risk to

Despite Covid crisis, India growing at 7-8%, says Dharmendra Pradhan

Though several developed economies suffered badly due to the Covid crisis, India continued to grow at 7 to 8 per cent during the last 10 years, Union Minister Dharmendra Pradhan said on Friday. In his keynote address at the Indian School of Business (ISB) here, Pradhan said India is set to surpass Japan and France and become the third largest economy in the world in the next three to four years. "Several developed economies in the world suffered badly due to the Covid crisis. Still, we are thriving with a 7 to 8 per cent growth rate since last decade and we will continue to do that," he said. The Minister of Education said India has a low corporate tax as Prime Minister Narendra Modi is very clear on not getting money to the exchequer by imposing more taxes, but more income in low slabs. He further said 46 per cent of the global digital payments are happening in India even as 25 crore people have been out of the poverty line.

IMF predicts India's GDP growth to moderate to 7% in 2024, 6.5% in 2025

India's GDP growth is likely to moderate from 8.2 per cent in 2023 to 7 per cent in 2024 and 6.5 per cent in 2025 because the pent-up demand accumulated during Covid has exhausted, as the economy reconnects with its potential, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Tuesday. About the global economy, the IMF said the battle against inflation has largely been won, even though price pressures persist in some countries. After peaking at 9.4 per cent year over year in the third quarter of 2022, headline inflation rates are now projected to reach 3.5 per cent by the end of 2025, below the average level of 3.6 per cent between 2000 and 2019, it said. The annual World Economic Outlook released here projected global economic growth to stay steady at 3.2 per cent in 2024 and 2025, even though a few countries, especially low-income developing countries, have seen sizable downside growth revisions. "In India, the outlook is for GDP growth to moderate from 8.2 per cent in 2023 to 7 per c

Industrial sector growing at fast pace, can aim 9% growth: NITI CEO

India's industrial sector is growing at a fast pace and the country can now aim to achieve 9 per cent plus economic growth, NITI Aayog CEO B V R Subrahmanyam said on Monday. Addressing a press conference here after release of Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) by Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI), Subrahmanyam said India's manufacturing sector has been generating sufficient number of jobs. According to the ASI data, the number of persons employed in manufacturing industries rose 7.5 per cent in 2022-23 to 1.85 crore from 1.72 crore in the previous year. The estimated number of persons engaged in this sector in 2022-23 exceeded the pre-pandemic level (2018-19) by more than 22.14 lakh, a MoSPI statement said adding that at the same time, average emolument also registered an increase over the previous year. "The industrial sector in India is growing fast, it is something people have been unnecessarily criticising," he said. While pointing out that manufactur

World Bank follows IMF. Revises India's FY25 GDP growth forecast to 7%

The International Monetary Fund had earlier also raised India's growth forecast to 7 per cent for the financial year 2024-25 (FY25), following the conclusion of general elections in the country

Witnessing J-curve growth, ITI Mutual Fund eyes Rs 1 trillion AUM in 5 yrs

ITI Mutual Fund said that it is at an "inflection point of 'J' curve growth," aiming to reach an AUM of Rs 1 lakh crore within the next five years, driven by India's robust macroeconomic fundamentals. A J-curve illustrates a trend that initially dips sharply before rising dramatically. As of July 2024, the company's AUM grew nearly 90 per cent year-on-year to Rs 8,763 crore. "India remains in a golden spot on the world map, with expected growth outpacing most global economies, presenting strong opportunities for the mutual fund industry," Rajesh Bhatia, Chief Investment Officer of ITI Mutual Fund told PTI. Bhatia said, "Given India's growth story, expanding at 7-8 per cent annually, it's the fastest growing among countries of its size and the most predictable. Many international observers would bet on India as having the highest growth potential over the next 5-10 years." "In this context, we are at an inflection point of 'J' curve growth, which positions us to scale dramatically.

Moody's raises India growth forecast to 6.8% on stronger economic data

Global rating agency Moody's on Monday raised India's growth forecast for 2024 calendar year to 6.8 per cent, from 6.1 per cent estimated earlier, on the back of 'stronger-than-expected' economic data of 2023 and fading global economic headwinds. India's real GDP expanded 8.4 per cent year-over-year in the fourth quarter of calendar year 2023, resulting in a 7.7 per cent growth for full-year 2023. Capital spending by the government and strong manufacturing activity have meaningfully contributed to the robust growth outcomes in 2023, Moody's Investors Service said. With global headwinds fading, the Indian economy should be able to comfortably register 6-7 per cent real GDP growth, it added. "India's economy has performed well and stronger-than-expected data in 2023 has caused us to raise our 2024 growth estimate to 6.8 per cent from 6.1 per cent. India is likely to remain the fastest growing among G-20 economies over our forecast horizon," Moody's said in its Global Macroeconomic ..

Confident of consistent growth at 6-8% for next 10 years: Ashwini Vaishnaw

Union Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw on Thursday expressed confidence that India will continue to have 6-8 per cent consistent growth rate over the next 10 years, as he invited global players to innovate in the country for the domestic and world markets. India is open to the world, and to new ideas, Vaishnaw, the Minister of Railways, Communications and IT, said while speaking at the Raisina Dialogue 2024. He nudged the global community to "come here, innovate here for India... for the world." "The Indian economy is growing at a consistent clip at a very good rate. In the next 10 years, India will continue to see a 6-8 per cent consistent growth rate... I can say that with a high level of confidence," Vaishnaw said. The building blocks for this are already in place and the results are visible, he said, outlining various initiatives taken by the government under Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Improvement in physical and digital infrastructure, education and skilling, as well as innovation

Growth rate of about 7% next year eminently doable, says DEA secretary

Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth on Friday said Budget proposals are non-inflationary and will help achieve 7 per cent-plus growth rate for the fourth year in a row in 2024-25. Although there are external risks arising from geo-political tensions, "the growth rate of about 7 per cent next year is eminently doable," Seth told PTI in a post-Budget interview with PTI. Having contracted 5.8 per cent in 2020-21, the Indian economy recorded a growth rate of 9.1 per cent in the following year. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate was 7.2 per cent in 2022-23 and is estimated to inch up marginally to 7.3 per cent in the current financial year. The interim Budget 2024-25 projected a nominal GDP growth 10.5 per cent against the 11 per cent for the current fiscal. The nominal GDP for BE 2024-25 has been projected at Rs 3,27,71,808 crore, assuming 10.5 per cent growth over the estimated nominal GDP of Rs 2,96,57,745 crore, as per the First Advance Estimates of FY24. "The estimates,

Nearly 45% CXOs see FY25 GDP growth hitting 6-6.5%: Deloitte survey

Meanwhile, 37 per cent business leaders expect the growth to remain below 6 per cent, as they cite rising inflation rates, supply chain challenges, and global headwinds as major challenges

JSW Steel's production grows 12% to 2.32 million tonnes in October

On a yearly basis, production from Indian operations in October grew 9 per cent to 2.23 million tonnes from 2.04 million tonnes

Rupee expected to trade near record lows despite economic growth: Experts

India's economy is expected to expand 6.3% this fiscal year, the fastest-growing major economy in the world. But the rupee is not reflecting that optimism.

Finance ministry defends GDP deflator and real GDP growth estimate

The finance ministry said India's GDP deflator is dominated by the Wholesale Price Index

Is the economy surging or decelerating: Understanding India's growth rate

This controversy, like so many, has generated much more heat than light because the critics are not shining a light in the proper place