Page 5 - Nomura

India in cyclical slowdown, RBI's 7.2% estimate 'overly optimistic': Nomura

Japanese brokerage Nomura on Monday said the Indian economy has entered a phase of "cyclical growth slowdown" and the Reserve Bank's estimate of 7.2 per cent GDP expansion is "overly optimistic". The brokerage said it sees "rising downside risks" to its GDP growth estimates of 6.7 per cent in the ongoing FY25 and 6.8 per cent in FY26. "We believe India's economy has entered a cyclical growth slowdown. Coincident and leading growth indicators point to a further moderation in GDP growth and the RBI's forecast of 7.2 per cent for FY25 is overly optimistic," the brokerage said in a note. The RBI maintained its FY25 growth estimate at 7.2 per cent earlier this month, even as some watchers have been coming out with lower numbers. Nomura said urban consumption indicators have been softening lately, and pointed to the slump in passenger vehicle sales, moderation in airline passenger traffic and FMCG companies flagging weak urban demand. "We believe this weakness in urban demand is likely

Earnings disappointment a catalyst for market correction: Analysts

The developments come at a time when the markets are already grappling with geopolitical developments in West Asia and the uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the US presidential polls

Time to downgrade Indian stock markets? Sell India, buy China? Analyst view

Absolute-return investors must avoid Indian markets in the backdrop of recent developments, especially the stimulus by China, suggests a report by BCA Research

JSW Steel hit all-time high, JSPL gains 3% after Nomura initiates 'Buy'

Nomura reckons JSW Steel's and JSPL's mid-cycle earnings have structurally improved due to stronger domestic demand, cost saving measures, and improved efficiency

Hyundai India deserves valuation premium to Maruti, says Nomura note

Korean automaker's Indian unit expanding market share and benefits from being part of larger Hyundai Motor Company, it says

Nomura, Mizuho leading bidders for majority stake in Avendus Capital

KKR and Avendus management are working together on the sale, the people said

Pharma stocks: Nomura gives 'Buy' to Lupin remains 'Neutral' on others

Lupin is preparing the launch of PredForte, having a market of $200 million with 180 days competitive generic therapy (CGT) exclusivity in the near term

Nomura ups target for Bajaj duo, M&M Fin, says rate cut positive for NBFCs

Regarding the implications of a rate cut for NBFCs, analysts noted that asset composition is more crucial than liability composition.

Nomura cuts target prices for Axis Bank, SBI and BoB ahead of Fed meeting

Analysts at Nomura suggested that larger private banks are likely to experience a greater negative impact on their NIMs from the potential US Fed rate cuts compared to mid-sized & smaller banks.

Nomura expects RBI to pivot to rate cuts from Oct amid weakening growth

Data released on Friday showed India's gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a slower-than-expected pace of 6.7 per cent on an annual basis in the April-June quarter

Nomura lowers its FY25 economic growth forecast for India to 6.7%

Goldman Sachs and J.P.Morgan maintained their FY25 GDP forecast for Asia's third-largest economy at 6.5 per cent

Yen carry trade, US recession threat: How brokerages interpret developments

India, analysts said, remains in a relatively better position amid strong fundamentals. Though valuations remain a concern, investors can use markets correction to buy quality stocks for the long-term

Nomura eyes three US Fed rate cuts in 2024; RBI likely to go its own way

The brokerage firm in a recent report said that the US Federal Reserve may begin rate cuts as early as next month with a 25 bp cut in September, with following rate cuts in November and December of 25

Why markets said 'meh' during previous US Federal Reserve rate cuts

Starting valuations remain vital to performance

Ola Electric's IPO to attract investor bids from Fidelity, Nomura

Ola Electric's roughly $740 million IPO will open this week and will be the first by an Indian electric vehicle maker

Sona BLW: Why Nomura thinks auto component firm may surpass industry growth

The electric vehicle (EV) revenue accounted for 33% of total revenue. The company's order book expanded to Rs 23,300 crore in Q1FY25, from Rs 22,600 crore in Q4FY24.

Nomura upgrades Tata Motors to 'Buy', sees 26% upside; check new target

On the bourses, Tata Motors stocks were buzzing in trade after several brokerages raised the target prices. The stock rallied as much as 3.82 per cent to hit a fresh record high of Rs 1,067 per share.

Brokerages on board with Budget but for capital gains tax curveball

As markets sift the Budget's fine print, they'll also monitor Q1 earnings, monsoon trends, and global factors

Nomura picks BPCL as top OMC stock on attractive valuation; sees 21% upside

Analysts said BPCL reported a robust performance in the June quarter (Q1FY25) despite a challenging environment.

Income tax rate cut, sops for PSUs: Brokerage expectations from budget 2024

Expectations (as measured by pre-budget equity market performance), wrote analysts at Morgan Stanley in a note, are important in determining what the market does immediately after the budget