Page 3 - S&p Global Ratings

India to continue resilient growth, RBI may do modest rate easing: S&P

S&P Global Ratings on Tuesday said the Indian economy is set for "resilient growth" in 2025 and projected inflation pressure to recede which will lead to "modest" easing of the monetary policy by the RBI. In its India outlook for 2025, S&P also retained India's growth forecast for current fiscal at 6.8 per cent, followed by 6.9 per cent growth in 2025-26. "The Indian economy is set for resilient growth in 2025 on the back of strong urban consumption, steady service sector growth and ongoing investment in infrastructure," Vishrut Rana, Economist at S&P Global Ratings, said. We expect the central bank to ease monetary policy modestly during 2025 as inflationary pressures recede, Rana said. Last week, RBI retained benchmark interest rates at 6.5 per cent to control inflation but cut the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 50 basis points to infuse liquidity into the system. India's economy grew 8.2 per cent in 2023-24. It said the GDP growth print for fiscal Q2 (June-September 2024) .

Markets Today: FIIs; Enviro Infra IPO; Dow, S&P at record; Oil & Gold slide

At 6:55 AM, GIFT Nifty futures were down 13.5 points, trading at 24,260, indicating a flat to negative start for the markets

S&P Global cuts India's GDP growth forecast to 6.7% for FY26, 6.8% for FY27

S&P Global Ratings on Monday revised down its estimate for India's economic growth in the next two financial years as high interest rate and lower fiscal impulse temper urban demand. In an update to its economic forecast for Asia-Pacific economies after US election results, the rating agency projected a 6.7 per cent GDP growth rate in 2025-26 financial year (April 2025 to March 2026) and 6.8 per cent in the following fiscal year, down from 6.9 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively in previous projections. For FY25, S&P Global pegged GDP growth rate at 6.8 per cent. "In India we see GDP growth easing to 6.8 per cent this fiscal year as high interest rates and a lower fiscal impulse temper urban demand. While purchasing manager indices (PMIs) remain convincingly in the expansion zone, other high-frequency indicators indicate some transitory softening of growth momentum due to the hit to the construction sector in the September quarter," it said. The agency expects India's GDP to

Bank deposit growth may struggle to keep pace with credit momentum: S&P

Investors may seek higher risk premium for increased regulatory risk

S&P Global raises annual profit forecast on demand for analytics products

S&P Global now expects its 2024 adjusted earnings per share between $15.10 and $15.30, compared with the prior view of $14.35 to $14.60

India needs over $170 bn to fund aviation expansion: S&P Global Ratings

India is one of the world's fastest-growing aviation markets and domestic passenger traffic is expected to double to 300 million by 2030

India Inc biggies set to invest $800 bn in a decade: S&P Global Ratings

The Vedanta, Tata, Adani, Reliance, and JSW groups alone are preparing about $350 billion of investment in these sectors over the next decade, said S&P Global Ratings

NBFC loan growth to moderate to 18% in FY25, says S&P Global Ratings

S&P Global Ratings said Indian lenders' strong underwriting will support asset quality. This is reflected in their focus on lending primarily to low-risk customers and generally low loan approval rate

S&P retains India's FY25 growth forecast at 6.8%, expects rate cut in Oct

S&P expects inflation to average 4.5 per cent in the current financial year

S&P retains India's growth forecast at 6.8%; expects rate cut in October

S&P maintained India's growth forecast at 6.8% and said that it expected the RBI to cut rates in October. The US Fed rate cuts last week have sparked speculation about a potential spillover effect

India to become third-largest economy by 2030-31, says S&P Global

The country is forecast to grow at an annual rate of 6.7 per cent

India on way to becoming third-largest economy by FY31: S&P Global report

India is on track to becoming the third-largest economy by 2030-31, driven by a projected annual growth rate of 6.7 per cent this fiscal, S&P Global said in a report on Thursday. The report also said that with 8.2 per cent growth rate in FY2024, continued reforms are crucial to improving business transactions and logistics, boosting private sector investment, and reducing reliance on public capital. It said equity markets are expected to stay dynamic and competitive due to strong growth prospects and better regulation, and foreign inflows into Indian government bonds have surged since the country joined major emerging market indexes, with further growth anticipated. To maximize trade benefits, India must develop infrastructure and geopolitical strategies, particularly regarding its extensive coastline, said the first edition of 'India Forward: Emerging Perspectives' report. Nearly 90 per cent of India's trade is seaborne, necessitating robust port infrastructure to manage ...

SBI's cost to income ratio to dip to 54-55% in two years, says S&P

Agency affirms bank's 'BBB-/positive' issuer rating

LS results won't cast a shadow on fiscal improvements in India: S&P

S&P said it does not expect recent parliamentary election results to have a major negative impact on the prospects for fiscal improvements in India

Credit rating agencies upbeat on India's fiscal consolidation plan

Moody's Ratings notes that the Budget is credit positive

Four sedimentary basins likely to hold 22 billion barrels of oil: S&P

Andaman Sea a focal point for oil exploration, S&P Global Commodity Insights said

LNG imports set to slump as monsoon hits power demand: S&P analyst

The South Asian nation bought some 2.6 million tons of the fuel last month, its highest since October 2020, according to Kpler data

As crude oil prices rise, rupee falls 5 paise to 83.54 against US dollar

The rupee depreciated 5 paise to 83.54 against the US dollar in early trade on Thursday, weighed down by elevated crude oil prices. Forex traders said a positive trend in domestic equities, wherein benchmark indices touched all-time high levels and significant foreign fund inflows supported the rupee and restricted the fall. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 83.52 and lost further ground to trade at 83.54 against the greenback in initial deals, registering a fall of 5 paise from its previous closing level. On Wednesday, the rupee settled 1 paisa lower at 83.49 against the US dollar. "Though the equity markets are shining bright, the Indian rupee has been trading flat to weaker, despite a drop in the dollar towards 105.04 and US 10-year yields touching 4.35 per cent, post the US service PMI data and ADP non-farm employment change data were weaker than expected," CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari said. According to Pabari, crude oil prices have risen neari

S&P Global Ratings retains India's growth forecast for FY25 at 6.8%

For FY26 and FY27, S&P projected India's economy to grow at 6.9 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively

S&P retains India FY25 GDP growth estimate at 6.8%; forecast lower than RBI

S&P Global Ratings on Monday retained India's GDP growth forecast for the current financial year at 6.8 per cent and said high interest rates and lower fiscal spur would temper demand. In its economic outlook for Asia Pacific, S&P Global Ratings said India's economic growth continues to surprise on the upside with the economy growing 8.2 per cent in fiscal year 2023-24. "We expect growth to moderate to 6.8 per cent this fiscal year, with high interest rates and lower fiscal spur tempering demand in the non-agricultural sectors," it said. For the fiscal years 2025-26 and 2026-27, S&P projected growth rates of 6.9 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively. S&P's estimates for FY'25 is lower than that of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), which earlier this month projected the Indian economy to expand at 7.2 per cent in the current fiscal, on the back of improving rural demand and moderating inflation. While another rating agency Fitch estimates India's growth at 7.2 per cent ..