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Economists seek GDP clues amid data doubts; Modi rides high on growth data

The official figures were music to the ears of Modi's ruling Bharatiya Janata Party

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Illustration: Binay Sinha

Reuters
Surprised again by India's strong official growth statistics, economists are relying increasingly on high-frequency indicators like bank credit and rail freight to gauge the real health of Asia's third-largest economy.

For India's cash-reliant economy, Prime Minister Narendra Modi's decision in November to outlaw old 500 and 1,000 rupee banknotes came as a big shock.

The decision sucked 86 percent of cash out of circulation, and everyone from street hawkers to big consumer goods firms suffered a slump in sales.

With data on commercial vehicle output, rail freight, service tax receipts and home appliance sales showing slowing growth or contraction, economic expansion in the