Endemic: Fourth Covid wave unlikely as immunity levels rise, say experts

Steady and stable infection rate with minor fluctuations for four weeks or more is when the disease is in endemic stage.

After oscillating between surges or ‘waves’ of Covid infections and ‘retreats’, the world seems to be finally getting back on its feet. Experts feel the country is entering the endemic phase of infection. The chances of a debilitating fourth wave in India are low unless a major mutation happens.

T Jacob John, senior virologist and former head of the departments of clinical virology and microbiology at Christian Medical College, Vellore, feels a fourth wave is unlikely in India because of epidemiological reasons and substantial immunity in the population.

Steady and stable infection rate with minor fluctuations for four weeks or