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Indian exports likely to lose edge on rising rupee, says RBI study

Study suggests absorbing inflows to avoid this; effective exchange rate index revamped

Crony capitalism has built up slowly in India, emerging as a Frankenstein’s monster a decade and a half after politicians began to unchain the private sector in the early 1990s
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The RBI’s capital absorption activity has stayed elevated, adding over $124 billion to the country’s forex reserves in 2020.

Abhijit Lele Mumbai
Indian exports risk losing competitiveness as large capital inflows can cause the rupee to appreciate, says a Reserve Bank of India (RBI) study. Absorbing the inflows through current account deficit and mopping them up as foreign exchange (forex) reserves can help avoid such a situation. The rupee settled at a near five-month high of 72.99 against the US dollar on Thursday after adding 6 paise, strengthening for the third day in a row.

India saw massive foreign capital inflows last year, mainly driven by the huge liquidity in global markets. Central banks have adopted ultra-lose monetary policies to battle the