In July 2008, when crude oil breached $147 a barrel, storied US bank Goldman Sachs warned of $200 oil, only to slash it to $45 in 2009. In Covid-19-struck 2020, when gold crossed $2,000 an ounce for the first time, or exceeded Rs 5,600 a gram in India, analysts expected it to reach Rs 8,000. Perhaps one can see something similar now when analysts jumped the gun after crude surged to nearly $140 a barrel earlier this month, and forecast dark days for India’s economy. They expected high current account deficits, and pump prices to jump by over Rs 10

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