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Rural wage growth defies demonetisation, rises to 7.3%: Nomura

The report also said pent-up demand may release in March end after remonetisation

Press Trust of India  |  Mumbai 

A group of women employed in the NREGA scheme clean the side of the road. (Photo: Shutterstock)
Photo: Shutterstock

Defying demonetisation, nominal agricultural wages growth rose to 7.3% in November on year-on-year basis, largely owing to hike in minimum wages announced by the government in September last year, financial services major said in a report.

Interestingly, the report said that the steady suggests a likely release "of pent up after remonetisation".

"Nominal agricultural wages growth rose to 7.3% year-on-year in November 2016 (the month was announced) from 6.9% in October, remaining well above the previous 12-month average of 4.8%," said in the report.

"We expected to moderate in November as we thought would hurt the more cash-reliant rural (two-wheeler sales did indeed decline by 5.9% year-on-year in November and by 22% in December)," it added.

of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 currency notes came into effect from November 9, 2016.

According to the financial services major, rural wages may have defied this demonetisation effect because of hike in minimum wages announced by the government in September 2016.

Further, the report said that "the resilience of nominal rural wage growth, despite demonetisation and amid lower inflation ( that is higher real wages), suggests that the current slowdown in rural is transitory and could give way to a sharp release of pent-up once the is sufficiently remonetised, which we expect by end-March."

Rural has only recently started to trend higher, after almost two years of stabilisation, it noted.

First Published: Fri, January 27 2017. 16:22 IST