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Covid-19 crisis: Slippages may jump to Rs 5.5 trillion, says India Ratings

Credit costs could touch Rs 2.7 trillion

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Steps announced by the government as part of the economic package are mid-to-long-term ones. If these are implemented timely, they could aid materially to reduce the expected stress in MSMEs.

Abhijit Lele Mumbai
Stress emerging from the severe economic shock caused by steps to contain the pandemic may drive total slippages to Rs 5.5 trillion in FY21.

The corporate side may see slippages of Rs 3.4 trillion, and non-corporate side — retail, farming and MSMEs — may account for Rs 2.1 trillion, according to India Ratings.

Banks faced elevated provision pressure (amount set aside for stressed loans) resulting from the corporate stress cycle, from FY16-FY20. For this, they had made substantial provisions and were moving towards a moderated credit cost cycle.

However, the Covid-related measures are likely to result in another cycle of