Sunday, December 14, 2025 | 05:10 PM ISTहिंदी में पढें
Business Standard
Notification Icon
userprofile IconSearch

China will beat US to take world's largest economy crown; what after that?

China is expected to expand an average of 1.8 per cent a year between 2030 and 2060, a smidge behind the US

China
premium

The emerging world order: Through the author’s travels to Russia, China and Turkey, the book provides an excellent first-hand account of the remarkable changes that are taking place in these territories

Bloomberg
The US economy will grow a bit faster than China.

Huh? That’s not a typo. It’s one of the projections in a fascinating OECD paper sketching scenarios for the world through 2060. Other developments canvassed: China’s share of global output peaks in the 2030s and then declines while India’s slice keeps rising. Indonesia’s economy catches up to its population.    

The forecast for the US to outstrip China is not a prediction of any economic miracle in America — just an acknowledgment that China has set itself up for a brutal demographic collapse. Shortly after China overtakes the US economy