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One year from now, India will be in the middle of what is likely to be a fiercely contested general election campaign — if, that is, the elections are held on schedule. What is notable is the new consensus that the elections will not just be fiercely but also closely contested. This was not predictable after Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s resounding success in 2014, nor was it evident when he was riding high half-way through his term.
It is important to note that Mr Modi’s personal popularity continues to appear very high, whether you judge anecdotally or through surveys. It
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