Analysts expect a sustainable demand recovery in volumes in coming quarters on the back of gradual relaxations in lockdowns, expectations of construction activities gaining momentum post-monsoon
With ease in restrictions from July onwards, demand is expected to pick up
All-India average cement price, according to analysts' estimates, is likely to be up around 1 per cent quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and nearly 5 per cent YoY in Q4-FY21E
Over the medium-term, the companies expect all India cement demand to grow at around 5-6 per cent on an average, mainly on the back of rural housing, followed by infrastructure segment
Analysts note that cement manufacturers may have to hike prices further to ensure sustainability of margins amid rising cost pressures.
The government's thrust on infrastructure spending and affordable housing bodes well for cement demand, Motilal Oswal Securities said in a note
Frontline cement stocks have shown tremendous strength in the stock price from a medium term view that may touch higher levels in coming months
In the past one week, most of the frontline cement stocks have outperformed the market and risen more than 4 per cent, as compared to 1.2 per cent rise in the S&P BSE Sensex
This will not impact positive sentiment in the sector, say analysts
ACC, Dalmia Bharat and Grasim Industries touched their respective 52-week highs on the BSE
The stock of the cement major was trading higher for the third straight day, ralling 7 per cent during the period and was trading at its highest level since March 6, 2020
Analysts at Emkay Global Financial Services remain positive on the cement sector and expects industry volume to start improving from the January-March quarter (Q4FY21)
Shares of cement makers have done well at the bourses over the past few weeks after sector majors UltraTech Cement, ACC and Ambuja Cements reported good operational performance in the June quarter
Individually, ACC rallied 6%, Ambuja Cements & JK Cement surged 5% each, while Ramco Cements, Shree Cement, India Cements, Heidelberg Cement India & UltraTech Cement were up in the range of 2% to 4%
Robust pricing so far and lower input costs YoY should moderate earnings decline on account of volume loss in 1HFY21.
Going ahead, raction in rural demand should continue in the back of good crop, normal monsoon, labour availability and government's welfare schemes
Firm realisation and lower costs bode well for profitability
On May 14, 2020, India Cements announced that Radhakishan S Damani, promoter of D-Mart supermarkets' chain, along with Gopikishan S Damani, has increased the stake in the company to 19.89 per cent
Strong cost controls, lower diesel, petcoke and coal prices helped
Starting construction may have no impact on demand if the loha and cement mandis don't open