Once the lockdown is lifted, we will need the mother of all fiscal and monetary policy support to sustain the economy
India's GDP growth is expected to slip to a decadal low of 5 per cent this fiscal, pressured by domestic factors like drop in consumption, as well as global issues
According to the revised FRBM rules, as amended by the Finance Act, 2018, the central government debt stock should not exceed 40 per cent of GDP by the end of financial year 2024-25
So, at least for me, the way I would look at it is that before the Budget, we were actually looking at 3.3 per cent for this year and 3 per cent for next year
A three per cent rise is definitely achievable
Fiscal prudence has been given priority over fiscal stimulus which will contain the growth of debt liabilities, but it will not provide the strong public expenditure push required for reviving growth
Fiscal targets may have to be relaxed for the current year
The right fiscal-monetary-external balance must be achieved to nurture and harness a nascent recovery
Long-term structural reforms are required, such as a uniform GST and direct tax rates
Subramanian further said that he thinks personal income tax cuts motivated by desired increased consumption are highly inequitable
The MPC underlined the rising consumer price inflation as one of the reasons
The rating agency - in its Infrastructure Yearbook 2019, released on Tuesday - said most of the sub-sectors in infrastructure have shown stress this year, compared to the previous year
The central bank has already chopped 135 basis points off its key lending rate, but this has failed to spur demand
Govt must not conceal how slowdown is impacting revenue
The question then is: On what should government spend this extra borrowing?
Revenue deficit comprises political payouts that are impossible to reduce in any significant measure. Minimising political risk means increasing revenue deficit
Is a low-inflation, low-growth environment the new normal?
It said GDP (gross domestic product) growth is likely to rebound to 7.1 per cent next year
By the end of 2019, govt could be forced to raise the fiscal deficit target to 3.5% of GDP from the current target of 3.3% as pressure for more stimulus mount
It may be time to set up a Centre-state council for expenditure, and to re-anchor bond markets