Page 27 - Gdp Growth

Slowdown in GDP growth late last year temporary: Moody's Analytics

Moody's Analytics on Tuesday said India's domestic economy, rather than trade, is its primary engine of growth and the slowdown in economic activity late last year will only be temporary. The government data released last week showed India's gross domestic product (GDP) growth slowed to a three quarter low of 4.4 per cent in October-December,2022, mainly due to contraction in manufacturing and low private consumption expenditure. While the manufacturing sector contracted by 1.1 per cent, private consumption expenditure slowed to 2.1 per cent in the October-December quarter of current fiscal. In its report on emerging market outlook, Moody's Analytics said growth slowed substantially on a year-ago basis, with private consumption lagging overall GDP for the first time since the Delta wave of Covid-19 struck the economy in the second quarter of 2021. "Our take is that the slowdown late last year will be temporary and even salutary, helping to wring some of the demand-side pressures ou

Hindu rate of growth: Where does the term come from and what it means

The term was first used by the late economist Raj Krishna in 1978 to refer to the low rate of economic growth in the pre-liberalisation era

India's FY24 GDP growth rate predicted in 6-6.5% range by agencies

Indias economic growth for 2023-24 is estimated to be in the band 6-6.5 per cent by experts in various agencies with difference only in the decimal point.

How will the markets read into the state election outcome in 2023?

While markets eye both economic and political issues, in the medium-to-long term, analysts believe election results do not matter much

Q3 GDP growth seems tepid only due to revisions made in earlier years: CEA

Comparing a data point that has been revised 3-4 times with another that is still called 'advanced estimate' isn't a cases if apples-to-apples but of apples-to-oranges, says V Anantha Nageswaran

India December quarter GDP growth stronger than data suggests: Economists

India's GDP grew 4.4% in October-December, down from 6.3% in July-September, and below the 4.6% forecast in a Reuters poll

GDP growth rate seen below 5% in December quarter on a normalising base

FY23 quarterly, annual estimates may be revised on Tuesday

MeitY invites proposals to estimate the size of India's digital economy

Govt plans to showcase success of India's digital economy at the G20 summit to be held in New Delhi in Sept

GDP growth rate likely at 4.6% in December quarter: SBI economists

Economists at the State Bank of India (SBI) have projected a GDP growth of 4.6 per cent for the December quarter, citing that as many as 30 high frequency indicators are not as robust as they were in the previous quarters. However, the projection is higher than the Reserve Bank of India's forecast of 4.4 per cent for the third quarter of this fiscal. The lower forecast also stems from poor corporate results, ex-BFSI, which have shown that operating profits grew at a much slower 9 per cent in the third quarter, which is just half of 18 per cent recorded in the year-ago period. Also, despite a 15 per cent in net sales, the bottom line was down by around 16 per cent, Soumya Kanti Ghosh, the group chief economic adviser at SBI, said in a report on Tuesday. Ghosh said he expects an upward revision in growth to 7 per cent for the full fiscal, up from 6.8 per cent projected earlier. This is because the government is anticipated to revise the GDP numbers for FY20, FY21 and FY22 on Februar

India, China to contribute more than half of global growth this year: IMF

IMF added that the central banks across Asia need to stay 'alert' as the core inflation is still high, and the re-opening of China's economy may push inflation up due to higher demand

MPC's 11.7% nominal GDP growth projection way higher than Budget estimate

If MPC's projections hold good, various figures in the Budget would change when the revised estimates are worked out

Expect 25-bp hike before RBI presses pause button

The rate-increase cycle, which started in May 2022, raising the policy rate from 4 to 6.25 per cent to fight entrenched inflation, is nearing its end

Budget proposals don't change our long-term preferences: Abhiram Eleswarapu

'Consensus forecasts call for a 16 per cent earnings compounded annual growth through FY25, with margin expansion baked in across most sectors', said Eleswarapu

Over 50% taxpayers may shift to new tax regime: Revenue secretary

"Goods and Services Tax (GST) growth is estimated at 12 per cent as we expect the economy to do better domestically. However, keeping excise and customs in mind, we lowered the overall target"

A balanced Budget against the backdrop of global uncertainties

Tax reliefs are expected to leave more money in the consumers' hands. While the aim is to boost consumption, the extent of the impact remains to be seen

Union Budget 2023 augments capex without sacrificing fiscal consolidation

The quality of the fiscal deficit is also set to improve in FY24, with capex accounting for a much larger share of the same vis-a-vis FY23

Eco Survey projects FY24 GDP growth at 6-6.8%, sees investments picking up

Commodity prices will raise total import bill and add to unfavourable developments in current account balance, it says

Eco Survey paints a bright medium-term outlook after an unpredictable year

It says once the global shocks of the pandemic and 2022's unpleasant spike in commodity prices fade away, the Indian economy is likely to record a faster growth during the rest of this decade

Three points for the Budget

Of the many things to watch in the Budget, three things-growth, fiscal deficit and stance on trade-will receive special attention from analysts. Getting the tone right will be crucial

The bicycle theory of the 2023 Budget

Lowering the fiscal deficit to sustainable levels will be the biggest challenge for the government, but there are enough reasons for it to keep pedalling hard