The power sector, which is heavily dependent on coal, may see a rise in the cost of supply by 0.6 per cent to 1.5 per cent, potentially leading to higher retail tariffs, ICRA added
The enforcement of the new mining cess by some states following the Supreme Court ruling may bring challenges for the domestic steel industry by adding to the cost pressures, according to rating agency Icra. On August 14, the Supreme Court upheld the power of states to levy tax on mineral rights and mineral-bearing land, and allowed them to seek refund of royalty from April 1, 2005 onwards. This development is poised to compress operating margins across the sector, impacting both primary and secondary steel producers, Icra said in a note. While margins of the primary steel producers could shrink by 60-180 basis points, secondary producers may face a more severe impact, with margins declining by 80 -250 basis points, based on various scenarios that cess rates could vary between 5-15 per cent. The power sector, which is heavily dependent on coal, may see a rise in the cost of supply by 0.6-1.5 per cent, potentially leading to higher retail tariffs. Further, primary aluminium producer
The credit rating agency expects India's GDP to grow by 6.8 per cent for the full fiscal year 2024-25, lower than the 8.2 per cent achieved in 2023-24
Currently, India imports nearly 50 per cent of its component requirement (by value) from suppliers based out of China, Japan, and South Korea, among others
Financing, better after-sales services and stricter regulations fuel rising demand for FBUs
The loan book of the company as of the end of March was Rs 51,402 crore
The state-owned power distribution companies are facing financial constraints despite improving their aggregate technical and commercial losses, according to an Icra report. The agency has cited delays in realising payments from state government departments for power supply as one of the reasons for the constrain of discom finances and assigned a negative outlook for the power distribution segment. The all-India aggregate technical and commercial (AT&C) losses for state-owned discoms declined from 23 per cent in FY2021 to 16.5 per cent in FY2022 and further to 15.8 per cent in FY2023 due to infrastructure upgrades and higher subsidy payout. Despite this progress, losses remain particularly high at over 20 per cent for the discoms in Bihar, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha and Uttar Pradesh, Icra noted. "The performance of state-owned discoms remains constrained by inadequate tariffs relative to the cost of supply, higher-than-regulator-approved AT&C losses, and a considerable
ICRA expects the average sale price (ASP) to increase further by 5-6% in FY2025
On the personal income tax front, the Budget brought in some modest tweaks, which should support sentiment and consumption for salaried individuals
The domestic cotton spinning industry will recover in FY25, growing 6-8 per cent, rating agency ICRA said on Wednesday. The recovery will be aided by 4-6 per cent volume growth and mild-realisation gains, the rating agency said. The estimated recovery would follow two consecutive years of de-growth on the back of subdued domestic demand and falling yarn realisations. Over two-thirds of the total cotton yarn produced is consumed domestically, where green shoots of recovery are visible from the downstream segments, such as ready-made garments and home textiles. According to ICRA, cotton yarn exports, which rebounded in FY24 on a lower base, are likely to normalise in FY25. "While exports will remain exposed to headwinds from sluggish global demand, a shift in sourcing preference away from other countries will offset this impact to an extent," the rating agency said. It shared that domestic cotton prices, which peaked sharply in H1 FY23 and reached a lifetime high of Rs 284 per kg,
ICRA also expects the industry to invest Rs 20,000-25,000 crore in FY2025 for capacity expansion and technological advancements
Bumper RBI dividend may help govt increase funding
The latest telecom tariff hikes announced by telcos can yield additional operating profits of around Rs 20,000 crore for the industry once they are fully absorbed, ICRA said on Friday. With an improved financial metrics, the industry will have the headroom to undertake deleveraging as well as fund capex for the technology upgrade, and network expansion, Ankit Jain, Vice President and Sector Head of Corporate Ratings, ICRA said. The domestic rating agency's view comes after Reliance Jio and Bharti Airtel announced they would roll out tariff hikes - in the range of 10-27 per cent - marking the first major telecom tariff increase in the industry in a span of two-and-a-half years. "The latest round of tariff hikes wherein the telcos increased the prepaid tariffs by around 15-20 per cent will provide the traction in the (Average Revenue Per User) ARPU levels and can result in additional operating profits of around Rs 20,000 crore for the industry once these hikes are fully absorbed," ICR
Thermal plant load factor or capacity utilisation is expected to remain healthy at 70 per cent in FY2025 on power demand growth of 6 per cent, ICRA said on Thursday. ICRA's outlook for the thermal power segment is "Stable", following the improvement in the thermal plant load factor (PLF) and healthy demand growth, thereby improving visibility on signing of new power purchase agreements (PPAs), an ICRA statement said. Also, it stated that the implementation of the Late Payment Surcharge (LPS) scheme enabled an improvement in payment discipline from state distribution utilities (discoms) to power generation companies from August 2022. However, it stated that ICRA's outlook for the power distribution segment remains "Negative" amid limited tariff hikes and continued loss-making operations. According to the statement, ICRA projects the all-India thermal PLF level to rise marginally to 70 per cent in FY2025, from 69 per cent in FY2024, led by the growth in electricity demand and limited
Consumers are expected to remain watchful of price movements, says ICRA
Corporates are bracing for revenue uncertainties in the April-June period due to a slowdown in government spending and the onset of the annual monsoon season, domestic rating agency Icra said on Monday. The sequential revenue growth will taper in the first quarter of the fiscal, the agency said in a note, adding that there was a 6.5 per cent growth in revenues in the March quarter compared to the preceding December quarter. "While signs of a revival in rural demand have emerged, headwinds, such as a slowdown in the Government of India's (GoI) spending during the Parliamentary elections and onset of the monsoon period, are likely to weigh on growth in H1FY25," the agency said. "India Inc braces for revenue uncertainties in Q1FY25," it added. Its co-group head for corporate ratings Kinjal Shah said the sequential revenue growth will slow down because of a relatively high base amid a perceived temporary pause in the infrastructural activities for a major part of the quarter due to the
In February 2024, the industry saw a slight 0.7 per cent year-on-year decline in wholesale volumes, although it managed a 5.1 per cent sequential growth
Hit by a high base of last year and weakness in demand, the domestic commercial vehicle industry is expected to witness a dip of 4-7 per cent in wholesale volumes in the current fiscal as compared to FY23, rating agency Icra said on Friday. The medium and heavy commercial vehicle (trucks) volumes are expected to contract by 4-7 per cent year-on-year given the high base effect and the impact of the Lok Sabha polls on infrastructure activities in the first few months. Similarly, the volume of light commercial vehicles (trucks) wholesale volumes is likely to decline by 5-8 per cent in FY2025 due to factors such as a high base effect, sustained slowdown in e-commerce, and cannibalisation from electric three-wheelers, Icra said. The rating agency expects the domestic CV industry's uptrend to be arrested in FY2025, with a decline of 4-7 per cent in wholesale volumes, it stated. This follows a muted year-on-year growth of 1 per cent and 3 per cent for wholesale and retail sales, ...
Domestic air passenger traffic grew 5.1 per cent year-on-year to an estimated 138.9 million in May and was significantly higher by around 14 per cent than pre-Covid levels, credit ratings agency Icra said on Thursday. Icra also said the outlook on the Indian aviation industry is stable amid the continued recovery in domestic and international air passenger traffic with a relatively stable cost environment and expectations of the trend continuing in FY2025. The airlines' capacity deployment in the previous month increased 6 per cent year-on-year and about 2 per cent higher than April 2024, it added. According to the agency, the domestic air passenger traffic for FY24 was around 154 million, with a year-on-year growth of around 13 per cent. It thus surpassed the pre-COVID levels of around 142 million in FY2020, the ratings agency said, adding that the international passenger traffic for Indian carriers stood at around 29.68 million last fiscal, registering a year-on-year growth of ..
Domestic steel consumption between February to April 2024 registered a growth of 11.3 per cent