S&P Global Ratings on Wednesday slashed India's GDP growth forecast for the current financial year to 9.8 per cent saying the second COVID wave may derail the budding recovery in the economy and credit conditions. The US-based rating agency in March had a 11 per cent GDP growth forecast for India for the April 2021-March 2022 fiscal on account of a fast economic reopening and fiscal stimulus. S&P, which currently has a 'BBB-' rating on India with a stable outlook, said the depth of the Indian economy's deceleration will determine the hit on its sovereign credit profile. The Indian government's fiscal position is already stretched. The general government deficit was about 14 per cent of GDP in fiscal 2021, with net debt stock of just over 90 per cent of GDP. "India's second wave has prompted us to reconsider our forecast of 11 per cent GDP growth this fiscal year. The timing of the peak in cases, and subsequent rate of decline, drive our considerations," said S&P Global ...
A resurgence in Covid-19 in the country has increased downside risks to growth
In February, things seemed to be coming under control with vaccination, giving the impression the system would cope with the pandemic
The budget redefines fiscal rules because it adds off-balance sheet items to the headline deficit, a note said adding that consolidation of finances is a pragmatic move
Fiscal expansion, as suggested by the Economic Survey, will be funded by disinvestments, borrowing and both direct and indirect tax receipts, he says
Government spending becomes imperative at the time of excessive risk aversion in the private sector
According to SBI EcoWatch, only 15-20 per cent of firms may request for a debt rejig
Impact on wages to severely dent consumption and decelerate recovery, says India Ratings
Global rating and research houses, such as Fitch and Goldman Sachs, have cut their estimates for growth in India's GDP for the current fiscal 2020-21.
RBI needs to focus on whether credit is reaching the stressed areas of the economy and also if the viable firms were able to access credit and not the unviable ones, he says
In its report, domestic rating agency Icra also said that the profit margins for the sector will go down as the growth slows down
CRISIL said it expected the current quarter's GDP to shrink 25 per cent year on year.
Fitch, last week, lowered India's sovereign rating outlook to 'negative' from 'stable', saying the coronavirus pandemic has significantly weakened the country's growth outlook
Rating agencies meet RBI top brass, seek access to Central Repository of Information on Large Credits (CRILC) maintained by central bank
During the meeting, among other matters, agencies' assessment of the macroeconomic situation and outlook on various sectors, including the financial sector, was discussed.
The first Advance Estimates, released in January for the purpose of Budget preparations, pegged the economic growth rate at 5 per cent in 2019-20.
Raters can move company to speculative grade on case-by-case basis
Domestic rating agency CARE revised outlook on rating for Tata group-owned Indian Hotels Company Ltd from "stable" to 'negative'
The negative growth in the loan book of PFS, a unit of PTC India, is on account of funding challenges faced by NBFCs
'Spike in NPAs will be reflected over the next few quarters'