Stakes are high for July US consumer prices report on Wednesday after an unexpectedly strong US jobs data last week boosted expectations of a sharp interest rate increase to tackle soaring inflation
The unexpectedly strong US jobs data on Friday have raised the stakes for the July US consumer prices report due on Wednesday, especially for the Fed's policy outlook
Spot gold steadied at $1,773.82 per ounce by 0900 GMT, after dropping 1% in the previous session. U.S. gold futures fell 0.1% to $1,789.40.
The Federal Reserve has already raised interest rates by 225 basis points since March 2020
Asian stocks were mixed on Monday after strong US jobs data cleared the way for more interest rate hikes and China reported its exports rose by double digits. Shanghai and Tokyo advanced while Hong Kong and Seoul retreated. Oil prices edged higher. Wall Street's benchmark S&P 500 lost 0.2 per cent on Friday after government data showed American employers added more jobs than expected in June. That undercut expectations a slowing economy might prompt the Fed to postpone or scale back plans for more rate hikes to cool inflation. Now it seems they will be debating whether they need to be even more aggressive, Edward Moya of Oanda said in a report. The Shanghai Composite Index shed less than 0.1 per cent to 3,226.04 after China's July exports rose 18 per cent, beating forecasts. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong fell 0.7 per cent to 20,055.39 while the Nikkei 225 in Tokyo gained 0.2 per cent to 28,241.09. The Kospi in Seoul declined 0.3 per cent to 2,482.32 and Sydney's S&P-ASX 200 shed .
The greenback was last 0.31% higher at 135.42 yen, and earlier rose to 135.585 yen, its highest since July 28, after surging 1.57% in the previous session, its biggest single-day gain since June 17
Markets quickly moved to price around a 70% chance Federal Reserve will lift rates by 75 basis points in September, sending two-year yields up 20 basis points on Friday and further inverting the curve
The benchmark Nifty50 Index has gained the most among major global markets, soaring 13.8 per cent since June 17, when it had dropped to its lowest levels in 13 months
The US Fed raised the target range for the federal funds rate by another 75 bps to 2.25-2.50 per cent in its July meeting. The FOMC statement has downgraded its assessment of the economic situation
Data for June was revised higher to show 398,000 jobs created instead of the previously reported 372,000.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 134.01 points, or 0.41%, at 32,592.81, the S&P 500 was down 27.03 points, or 0.65%, at 4,124.91
Global stock markets and Wall Street futures were mixed Friday ahead of an update on the U.S. jobs market while the Federal Reserve weighs whether more rate hikes are needed to cool surging inflation. London, Paris and Frankfurt were lower while Shanghai and Tokyo advanced. Oil prices fell back. Investors were looking ahead to monthly U.S. employment numbers for possible signs of weakness that might prompt the Fed to decide it needs to ease off on rate hikes to cool inflation. Other data suggest the economy is slowing, which should reduce pressure for prices to rise. Consensus is looking for a softening in the labor market for July, said Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management in a report. In early trading, the FTSE 100 in London lost 0.1% to 7,437.48 and the DAX in Frankfurt was little-changed at 13,660.80. The CAC 40 in Paris lost 0.5% to 6,483.56. On Wall Street, the future for the benchmark S&P 500 index slipped less than 0.1% while that for the Dow Jones Industrial Average was
A parade of Federal Reserve officials in recent days has sought to emphasize this message - though a slump isn't their forecast
Record high trade deficit, technical factors add to woes
On August 4, the Bank of England is expected to raise rates by 50 bps to 1.75 per cent. A Business Standard poll of 10 economists expects the RBI to raise rates by 35-50 bps
With Federal Reserve officials signaling a pause is out of the question until they see evidence of inflation easing, RBI watchers will be closely monitoring Governor Shaktikanta Das's remarks
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As a result, the yield 10-year US government bond is down 14 per cent in the last seven weeks while the S&P 500 up 11.3 per cent in the period
LONDON (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar edged lower on Wednesday but held on to most of the previous day's gains, after leaping on Federal Reserve officials' hints at aggressive rate hikes and drawing support amid a U.S.-China flare-up over Taiwan.
Central banks overseeing five of the 10 most heavily traded currencies delivered 325 basis points of rate hikes between them last month.