After the 7.35 per cent December CPI inflation print, we expect the January inflation once again to be close to 7 per cent, and then recede down to around 6 per cent for some months
This is because the Union Budget does not have provision for any expenditure towards the programme in the current fiscal year
The direct tax proposals aim to accelerate economic momentum and ease of living for taxpayers, though the key will lie in smooth administration
The states' revenue from the central tax pool was up 25.8 per cent YoY in FY19, while it was down 0.4 per cent YoY in FY18
The government has wasted the chance to firmly establish its reform credentials
The personal income tax has been simplified and reduced. Individuals will have to pay tax at the reduced rate of 10% for incomes of Rs 5-7.5 lakh, against the current rate of 20%
Sitharaman announced that the new GST return framework and e-invoicing would be implemented from April 1, to improve compliance and plug the tax revenue leakages
The budgetary figures continue to not cover many forms of expenditures
Expert panel may be set up to define responsibilities of key stakeholders and standards to be followed at all levels of government
Customs duties and exemptions need to be streamlined
The government has promised to raise Rs 120,000 crore via disinvestment, and an additional Rs 90,000 crore from sale of government equity in public-sector banks and financial institutions, in 2020-21
Income tax rates have been slashed, but can be availed only if the taxpayer lets go of most exemptions
In her second Budget presentation, the finance minister said GST has resulted in gains of Rs 1 lakh crore to consumers and removed inspector raj and also helped the transport sector
If brought under GST, natural gas will attract a uniform rate of tax at the consumption point anywhere in the country after doing away with current rates of excise duty and VAT
Chavan said the government must tell by how much income of farmers has increased in the last five years, as part of its promise of doubling their income by 2022
On the other hand, tax revenues rose 13.44 per cent for West Bengal in this period
Increasing grants and tied funds not enough
Revenue projections may be realistic this time
Long-term structural reforms are required, such as a uniform GST and direct tax rates
The larger economy suffers more than the central govt, as New Delhi is allowed to get away with behaving arbitrarily and then hiding the reality behind bogus numbers, writes T N Ninan