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There's upside potential in Cement sector as prices rise across regions

Analysts expect H2 to be better and infra spending to be hiked in the Budget; benign energy prices and demand improvement are other triggers

A Kolkata-registered company, SMPL owns limestone reserves, a key cement input, in Madhya Pradesh and is planning to come up with a cement unit there
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The sector has many well-run companies but it also has significant surplus capacity and it may have even more surplus in future since most companies have expansion plans

Devangshu Datta
Between September and November, cement prices have increased for three straight months across every region. In addition, energy prices, which are a key input, have seen a decline in the last seven weeks. Apart from crude and gas, imported coal prices have declined by over 20 per cent month-on-month (MoM) in November. This will improve EBITDA per tonne for cement companies in Q3, 2022-23 and in Q4.

That could mean strong gains over Q2, 2022-23 results which were weak due to seasonal factors and high energy costs. There could also be a demand recovery through the second half (H2) of