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Swings in India's rupee are making it difficult to hedge currency

The success of RBI's currency-swap auctions is leading to exaggerated moves in the onshore forwards market, making it harder for cos to hedge their foreign-currency borrowings

rupee dollar
premium

Subhadip Sircar | Bloomberg
The success of RBI’s currency-swap auctions is leading to exaggerated moves in the onshore forwards market, making it harder for companies to hedge their foreign-currency borrowings.

Tuesday’s $5 billion auction, which drew offers for more than three times the size, was covered by just five bids. Banks whose bids didn’t get accepted were left with excess dollars that sent the one-year annualised forward rate as high as 4.58 per cent after the sale.

“Due to excess dollars in the system, forward premiums are staying more elevated than they should,” said a currency analyst. The fair value of the one-year forward premium is