Siddhartha Sanyal
Siddhartha Sanyal
CPI-based inflation is expected to broadly align near the RBI's projection of 4.5% in 2024-25, despite perishable food price shock due to repeated weather aberrations
Inflation and central bank policy rates seem to have peaked for most countries, while the pace of economic activities remains varied across economies
Despite the current surge in CPI inflation, bulk of the rise came from food prices rather than in a broad-based fashion
One feels that arguments in favour of a pause in April are strong
Over the last couple of months, there have been major unfavourable developments with regards to both growth and inflation.
While this will mean material deviation from the FRBM road map, we feel that a decisive and credible stance on near-term fiscal deficit and FRBM targets is the need of the hour
The report stands out for its vast coverage, superior analysis, and key recommendations for policy priorities.
The Survey forecasts 2020-21 real GDP to grow at 6-6.5%
India's fiscal dynamics is typically pro-cyclical
Experts expect the rupee to have a stable-to-positive bias over the near term-likely at 61/$ through the next 3-6 months
The rupee's rise against the dollar since mid-July had broadly been in line with a host of other currencies and the weakness in the broader dollar index