Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran on Tuesday said high frequency data indicate buoyant economic growth momentum and the 7 per cent GDP growth estimate for the current fiscal is very realistic. He also said that there are enough signs that manufacturing is in good health. "Inflation is softening and the pass through from wholesale prices has run its course we do have some uncertainty related to monsoon because of El Nino activity we need to be ready with both supply side and monetary policy measures in the course of the next financial year," Nageswaran told reporters. According to him, the GDP growth forecast of 6.5 per cent for the next fiscal is well within the range of forecast by other agencies like OECD and ADB but there are downside risks. "We need to be prepared for tighter financial conditions globally, weather-related uncertainties and geopolitical factors. 2023-24 may not see a big ticker shock as we saw in early months of 2022-23 as the war broke out in 2022 bu
The utterances of former advisors who have turned political don't fully pass the smell test. It would help if they are a bit more respectful of their profession, which demands neutrality
The CEA also said that as nominal and real GDP growth improve, many more urban jobs will be created and that will also absorb more of the rural workforce
'Not necessary or healthy for public sector to keep expanding capital investment,' he says
India's chief economic adviser said on Friday that the current pace of public spending in the country could crowd out private spending
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The IMF sees FY23 GDP growth at 6.8 per cent compared with 7.4 per cent earlier, while the RBI has cut its forecast to 7 per cent from 7.2 per cent
Nageswaran flags climate finance as a key agenda of bloc in face of 'unknown unknowns'
Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran on Monday said India is expected to clock better growth than IMF's projections next year aided by enhanced capital formation. Recently, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected 6.8 per cent real growth for this year and 6.1 per cent for next year for India. "I think in fact, the growth rates for the coming years may be slightly more, slightly better than what these numbers are, because I think there is a possibility that India's capital formation cycle will do better after one decade of retrenchment," he said. India's public digital infrastructure has probably crossed an inflection point and that will also be contributing to both formalisation of the economy and therefore higher growth, he said. So, he said, maybe there could be 0.5-0.8 per cent addition to the 6 per cent baseline numbers. He also said that fiscal policy and monetary policy are usually synchronised and counterbalance each other. On high debt-to-GDP ratio, he said
The India ED also represents Bangladesh, Bhutan and Sri Lanka, along with another appointee from one of these countries
V Anantha Nageswaran said the recent development in Terra-Luna cryptocurrency, which witnessed a massive meltdown last month, is a 'very important cautionary tale'
Stagflation is the phase when an economy faces moderation in GDP growth as well as high inflation
The move, which marks first time the country is issuing timelines for imports, can put pressure on the global prices of coal as the utilities rush to avoid a repeat of the electricity crisis in April.
'Employment generation is both a near-term and long-term priority', said Nageswaran
Here are his commentaries on a few key issues
Appointment comes when all eyes are on Economic Survey and Union Budget
Successive govts have appointed excellent economists, not because they wanted their advice, but because someone has to prepare the Survey and maybe speak on behalf of the government as a spokesperson.
Subramanian's term is ending on December 6. He's decided to return to academia
The selection committee interacts with key people in the finance ministry and other stakeholders before sending the shortlisted names to the finance minister
GDP data re-affirms govt's prediction of an imminent V-shaped recovery, says K V Subramanian