The government has also issued quality control orders to curb the imports of these non-essential items
Growth beyond 6% can happen, but there are constraints on both fiscal and monetary policy, which must focus on reducing the current account deficit, the fiscal deficit and inflation, writes T N Ninan
RBI may mop up any inflows to boost its foreign-exchange reserves, a move that may also work against the rupee
Net exports of services rose 35% to $34.5 billion in the second quarter of the current fiscal
Credit rating agency Acuite Ratings and Research has revised downward Indias current account deficit to $106 billion in FY23
Renewed overseas flows to provide support
Balance of Payments position sees depletion of $30.4 billion, says central bank
The country's current account deficit widened to 4.4 per cent of the GDP in the quarter ended September, from 2.2 per cent GDP during the April-June period, due to higher trade gap, as per data released by the Reserve Bank on Thursday "India's current account balance recorded a deficit of USD 36.4 billion (4.4 per cent of GDP) in Q2:2022-23, up from USD 18.2 billion (2.2 per cent of GDP) in Q1:2022-23 and a deficit of US$ 9.7 billion (1.3 per cent of GDP) a year ago [i.e., Q2:2021-22]," the RBI said. Underlying the current account deficit in July-September 2022-23 was the widening of the merchandise trade deficit to USD 83.5 billion from USD 63 billion in first quarter of 2022-23 and an increase in net outgo under investment income. Services exports reported a growth of 30.2 per cent on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis on the back of rising exports of software, business and travel services. Net services receipts increased both sequentially and on a yearly basis.
Of $90 billion remittances that India is expected to receive in 2022, only $27.4 billion has come in the first half of the year
A revival in domestic demand in Asia's third-largest economy since the Covid-19 pandemic has also compounded the shortfall through higher imports
Bangladesh's current account deficit further widened in October as imports continued to increase in comparison to the combined receipts from exports and remittances
CAD in Q1 of 2013 was 4.9 per cent of GDP, while net exports stood at 5.93 per cent of GDP
India's annual economic growth is forecast to slow to about 6% for a few years, according to economists from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Barclays Plc.. And they say that's not such a bad thing
'India's annual import cover comfortable; IMF does not consider external sector to be in a zone of vulnerability'
State Bank of India has pencilled in lower current account deficit at 3 per cent for this fiscal as against the minimum consensus of 3.5 per cent, citing rising software exports, remittances and a likely USD 5-billion jump in forex reserves via swap deals. Every USD 10 increase in crude prices impacts the Current Account Deficit (CAD) to the tune of 40 basis points while the same on fuel inflation is 50 bps and also results in 23 bps decline in growth, according to Soumyakanti Ghosh, the chief economic advisor at SBI. CAD has a counter cyclical shock absorber, he said in a report on Thursday. Exchange rate is the major contributor to software exports growth and 40 per cent of its variation is explained by exchange rates. "If we translated these numbers in actual terms, every Re 1 fall against the dollar leads to an increase in software exports by USD 250 million". This, along with an expected USD 5 billion-forex reserve accrual by way of swap transactions and higher remittances, wi
Having raised policy rates to about 6 per cent, does India's Monetary Policy Committee need to do more? And, if so, is more front-loading warranted?
Economic debates should be informed. Changing the currency notes or printing images of Lord Ganesh and Goddess Lakshmi on them will not help
India's current account deficit is projected at 3.5 per cent for 2022, says IMF World Economic Outlook report
'Net LAF continues to be in surplus for the past two years, except for 2-3 days when because of SLF for the primary dealers it became deficit'
The MPC also cut its FY23 GDP growth forecast to 7 per cent from 7.2 per cent, with Governor Shaktikanta Das acknowledging that there were downside risks to economic growth