Page 11 - Gdp Growth

India may benefit from trade protectionism: S&P Global India Research

Report highlights India's growth potential through manufacturing reshoring and energy security amid global trade uncertainty and protectionist policies

Icra projects India's Q4 growth at 6.9%, FY25 GDP expansion at 6.3%

ICRA on Monday projected India's GDP growth at 6.9 per cent in the quarter ended March 31, and at 6.3 per cent for the full 2024-25 fiscal, undershooting the the National Statistics Office (NSO) estimates made in February. In February, the NSO had projected the Indian economy to grow at 6.5 per cent in 2024-25. With economic growth in June, September and December quarter at 6.5 per cent, 5.6 per cent and 6.2 per cent respectively. To achieve the NSO's projected 6.5 per cent growth in FY25, the GDP growth in Q4 or March quarter should be 7.6 per cent. The NSO is scheduled to release the provisional estimates of FY'25 GDP and quarterly estimates for Q4 on May 31. ICRA in its note said it projected the year-on-year (YoY) expansion of the GDP to rise to 6.9 per cent in Q4 FY 2025, from 6.2 per cent in Q3 FY2025, significantly undershooting the NSO implicit estimate of 7.6 per cent for the quarter. Unless there are material revisions in the data for Q1-Q3 FY2025, ICRA projects a sharp

UN cuts India's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 6.3%, sees strong momentum

India's economic growth forecast for 2025 has been revised downward to 6.3 per cent, and despite a projected moderation, the country remains one of the fastest-growing large economies, supported by resilient consumption and government spending, the United Nations has said. The UN on Thursday launched a report titled 'The World Economic Situation and Prospects as of mid-2025'. India remains one of the fastest growing large economies, driven by strong private consumption and public investment, even as growth projections have been lowered to 6.3 per cent in 2025, Ingo Pitterle, Senior Economic Affairs Officer, Global Economic Monitoring Branch, Economic Analysis and Policy Division, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), said at a press briefing here. The report said the global economy is at a precarious juncture, marked by heightened trade tensions and elevated policy uncertainty. The recent surge in tariffsdriving the effective US tariff rate up steeplythreatens to rais

Three RBI rate cuts likely from June as inflation dips below 4% target

With inflation staying under RBI's 4% target for two months, economists expect three back-to-back repo rate cuts, starting with a 25 bps reduction in June

S&P Global Ratings cuts India's FY26 growth rate by 20 basis points to 6.3%

S&P cites US tariff shocks and rising global uncertainty as reasons for trimming India's FY26 growth projection to 6.3 per cent and FY27 estimate to 6.5 per cent

India's GDP to grow between 6.5-6.7% in FY26 on strong demand: Deloitte

Deloitte on Thursday projected economic growth at 6.5-6.7 per cent for the current fiscal, as tax incentives provided in the Budget are expected to push domestic demand amid an uncertain global trade environment. Deloitte estimated India's GDP growth at 6.3-6.5 per cent for FY25 and said that the economic outlook for FY26 hinges on a delicate balance between evolving trade relations and government efforts to boost domestic consumer demand. "Growth this fiscal will be contingent on two opposing forces," said Deloitte's India Economy Outlook. The first factor would be the positive impact of tax incentives aimed at growing consumer spending (as announced in the Union Budget 2025). The second and opposing force would be the potential negative impact of uncertainty in global trade networks on the Indian economy. "The interplay of tax stimulus and trade uncertainties could keep growth between 6.5 per cent and 6.7 per cent for the current fiscal year," it added. The government in the FY2

Q4 IIP blip likely to drag India's FY25 GDP growth down: Economists

Aditi Nayar, chief economist, ICRA Ratings, said growth in Q4 FY25 is anticipated to fall short of the level implicit in the NSO's second advance estimate for FY25

India growth story largely intact amid turbulent times: FM Sitharaman

The latest Economic Survey had estimated India's GDP growth in the range of 6.3-6.8 per cent for FY26

India's attractiveness increased lately with recovery in GDP: Kunal Vora

The situation on tariffs is still evolving, but India is relatively well placed due to its low merchandise export dependence

World Bank trims India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.3% amid uncertainty

Lowers South Asia's FY25 outlook and urges region's nations to carry out reforms and revenue mobilisation

Lucknow-Kanpur corridor key to Uttar Pradesh's $1 trillion economy target

UPSIDA will facilitate big-ticket investments and "ribbon development" in Ex-LIDA

Fitch cuts India's GDP projection by 10 bps to 6.4% as trade war escalates

Fitch says, excluding the pandemic, world growth rate to be the weakest since 2009

Fitch cuts India growth estimates to 6.4% amid ongoing global trade war

Fitch Ratings on Thursday cut India's GDP growth estimate by 10 basis points to 6.4 per cent for the current fiscal, but retained the projections for the next financial year, on concerns over a 'severe' escalation in global trade war. "It is hard to predict US trade policy with any confidence. Massive policy uncertainty is hurting business investment prospects, equity price falls are reducing household wealth, and US exporters will be hit by retaliation," Fitch said in its special update to quarterly Global Economic Outlook (GEO). Fitch also cut the world growth projections in 2025 by 0.4 percentage points and China and US growth by 0.5 percentage points from its March GEO. "Fitch Ratings' forecasts for world growth have been sharply lowered in response to the recent severe escalation in the global trade war. World growth is projected to fall below 2 per cent this year; excluding the pandemic, this would be the weakest global growth rate since 2009," it said. With regard to India,

India must watch out for GDP growth with third chance at doorstep

Having missed two chances to boost manufacturing, India can't afford to miss the third one now at its doorstep

Is India faking growth? Sabeer Bhatia calls GDP numbers a 'big lie'

Hotmail's Sabeer Bhatia slams India's GDP model, says real growth comes from effort and not just money exchange

RBI lowers FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% on global trade uncertainties

Inflation outlook for India improves on sharp decline in food prices and record wheat and pulse production

Tariffs, competition may lead to further downgrades for chemicals sector

The Indian chemical sector is experiencing slow recovery on volume growth. Pressure from Chinese imports persists despite anti-dumping tariffs

India's GDP growth projected at 6.4% for FY25, 6.5% for FY26: EY report

The Indian economy is likely to grow at 6.5 per cent in the fiscal year starting April 1, EY Economy Watch said, emphasising that a well-calibrated fiscal strategy that supports human capital development while maintaining fiscal prudence could significantly enhance long-term growth prospects. The March edition of EY Economy Watch projects India's real GDP growth at 6.4 per cent in FY25 (April 2024 to March 2025 fiscal year). For the next, it projects 6.5 per cent growth, highlighting the need to realign fiscal policy to support the country's journey toward Viksit Bharat. According to revised national accounts data released by NSO last month, real GDP growth rates for FY23 to FY25 are now estimated at 7.6 per cent, 9.2 per cent and 6.5 per cent. With respect to quarterly growth rates for FY25, the third quarter growth is estimated at 6.2 per cent implying a required growth of 7.6 per cent in the fourth quarter to deliver an annual GDP growth of 6.5 per cent estimated by NSO. "A 7.6

India loses 3% of GDP annually due to road accidents: Nitin Gadkari

India is losing 3 per cent of its GDP due to around 5 lakh road accidents annually in the country, Union Minister Nitin Gadkari said on Tuesday. The Minister for Road, Transport and Highways made the remarks while addressing AMCHAM's Technology Interventions For Road Safety: US-India Partnership in the national capital. The most important problem for the country is road accidents, Gadkari said, noting that every year India sees 4,80,000 accidents, which lead to 1,88,000 deaths of people aged between 18 and 45 years. The minister raised concerns that 10,000 deaths are of children below 18 years. Gadakri said, "It is one of the major public health issue and the most important thing is also, we are losing 3 per cent of GDP because of road accidents." The Union minister cited poor detailed project reports (DPRs) as one of the key reasons for accidents. "DPR consultants are the main culprits who are responsible for the road accidents. (They prepare DPRs) sometimes because of cost sav

S&P cuts India's FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% amid global strains

S&P Global Ratings on Tuesday cut India's GDP growth projections to 6.5 per cent for the next fiscal as it expects that economies in the APAC region will feel the strain of rising US tariffs and pushback on globalisation. In its Economic Outlook for Asia-Pacific (APAC), S&P said despite these external strains, it expects domestic demand momentum to remain solid in most emerging-market economies. "India's GDP will grow 6.5 per cent in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, we expect. Our forecast is the same as the outcome for the previous fiscal year, but less than our earlier forecast of 6.7 per cent," S&P said. The forecast assumes that the upcoming monsoon season will be normal and that commodity- especially crude-- prices will be soft. Cooling food inflation, the tax benefits announced in the country's budget for the fiscal year ending March 2026, and lower borrowing costs will support discretionary consumption in India, S&P said. The global credit rating agency ...