India's growth was much better than IMF expectations the last fiscal year and those carryover effects are affecting our forecast for this year, said Gita Gopinath
India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) on Wednesday upped India's GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal to 7.5 per cent from 7.1 per cent projected earlier on expectation of improved consumption demand. It said The ongoing growth momentum led by government capex, deleveraged balance sheets of corporates/banks, and incipient private corporate capex cycle has now found support from the union government budget. The budget promises to bolster agricultural/rural spending, improve credit delivery to MSMEs and incentivise employment creation in the economy. "Ind-Ra believes these measures would help in broad basing the consumption demand," the rating agency said while revising up its GDP growth estimate for FY25 to 7.5 per cent. Ind-Ra's growth projection is higher than that of RBI which projected FY25 growth at 7.2 per cent and Finance Ministry's Economic Survey which estimated GDP expansion between 6.5-7 per cent. Ind-Ra expects Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) to grow to a
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Company has 'unwavering confidence' in country's economic growth, says Sanjiv Puri
Encouraged by the budget on measures to increase integration into global value chains, the US India Business Council on Tuesday lauded the ambitious Union Budget as a key step in strengthening its global leadership in the Indo-Pacific and across the world. USIBC is eager to work closely with the Government of India to help it realize the full potential of Viksit Bharat, and we laud the Government's ambitious Union Budget 2024 as a key step in strengthening its global leadership in the Indo-Pacific and across the world as well as ushering new opportunities for partnership and collaboration between the United States and India, the world's oldest and largest democracies, USIBC president Atul Keshap said. Several of the budget's economic measures are likely to have important strategic impact in areas of shared priority between India and the US where USIBC has been a key partner to both governments, he said. Abolishing the angel tax clears an obstacle to ever closer bilateral technology
Speaking on the tourism sector, Pitti said that he expects the government to put some more focus on tourism as it provides many employment opportunities
The economists said the fiscal deficit target for 2024-25 could be slightly lowered, from the 5.1 per cent estimate laid out in the Interim Budget earlier this year
Asian Development Bank keeps FY25 growth projection unchanged at 7%
Projection must be weighed against 'downside risks from weather events and geopolitical shocks', it says
However, this path may not be as easy for the government to tread
The shortages are affecting rural and urban Indians alike, disrupting agriculture and industry, stoking food inflation and risking social unrest
A base year is the reference year whose prices are used to calculate the real growth (minus inflation) in national income
Growth projections have been upgraded by various other agencies as well, with the median projection at 6.9 per cent
In FY20, the final Budget revised the nominal GDP growth target to 12 per cent from 11.5 per cent assumed in the interim Budget
S&P Global Ratings on Monday retained India's GDP growth forecast for the current financial year at 6.8 per cent and said high interest rates and lower fiscal spur would temper demand. In its economic outlook for Asia Pacific, S&P Global Ratings said India's economic growth continues to surprise on the upside with the economy growing 8.2 per cent in fiscal year 2023-24. "We expect growth to moderate to 6.8 per cent this fiscal year, with high interest rates and lower fiscal spur tempering demand in the non-agricultural sectors," it said. For the fiscal years 2025-26 and 2026-27, S&P projected growth rates of 6.9 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively. S&P's estimates for FY'25 is lower than that of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), which earlier this month projected the Indian economy to expand at 7.2 per cent in the current fiscal, on the back of improving rural demand and moderating inflation. While another rating agency Fitch estimates India's growth at 7.2 per cent ..
India Inc welcomed the Reserve Bank's move to raise the growth outlook for FY25 and stated that it expects the Reserve Bank to reduce the key repo rate when inflation stabilises within its target band. The Reserve Bank, which has been mandated to ensure inflation remains at 4 per cent (with a margin of 2 per cent on either side), mainly factors in CPI while arriving at its monetary policy. It left the key interest rate unchanged as widely expected, keeping the focus on inflation amid robust economic growth that is likely to provide the new Modi government headroom for manoeuvring reforms. The central bank also retained its projection for retail inflation at 4.5 per cent for the current fiscal assuming a normal monsoon, while emphasising that uncertainties related to food price outlook warrant a close monitoring. Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based retail inflation has been projected at 4.5 per cent with quarter-wise projections at 4.9 per cent in Q1 (April-June), 3.8 per cent in Q2, 4
If the BJP secures over 400 seats in the Lok Sabha, it will be the second party to do so after Congress, which won 414 seats in 1984 after the assassination of Prime Minister Indira Gandhi
Grows 7.8% in Q4, thanks to increased tax mop-up
It could give a ratings upgrade if govt is committed to fiscal glide path
India GDP data release updates: Catch all the news updates on the release of India's Q4 GDP data here