Real GDP growth will come lower than the official estimate at 6.2 per cent in the ongoing fiscal year and inch up to 6.5 per cent in FY26, a foreign brokerage said on Tuesday. The Q2FY25 growth number at 5.4 per cent was disappointing, HSBC said in a report, adding that it expects the gross value added growth in the December quarter to go up to 6.5 per cent. "Our 100 indicators analysis shows that growth indicators have improved since September, but remain weaker than June," the report said. It said 65 per cent of the indicators are growing at a positive clip in the December quarter compared to 55 per cent in the July-September period, and added that improvements have been the clearest in agriculture, exports, and construction. Even urban consumption, which has been discussed a lot in recent weeks in a concerning way, has shown some improvement in the December quarter, the report said. The brokerage said utilities and private investment indicators continue to remain subdued, and .
Early signs indicate a positive opening for the markets. At 6:37 AM, GIFT Nifty futures were trading 51 points higher at 23,772, pointing to a higher start for the bourses
Indian economy is likely to grow at 6.5-6.8 per cent this fiscal and slightly higher between 6.7-7.3 per cent in FY2026, boosted by domestic consumption, Deloitte said on Sunday. Deloitte India Economist Rumki Majumdar said the growth in the first half of the fiscal year 2025 turned out to be slower than estimated as election uncertainties followed by disruptions in activity due to heavy rainfall and geopolitical events weighed on domestic demand and exports. However, India continues to show resilience in certain pockets that are worth noting -- be it in consumption trends, services growth, the rising share of high-value manufacturing in exports, or the capital market. The government's continued focus on infrastructure development, digitisation, and attracting FDI will be the additional growth booster, enhancing overall efficiency. "We remain cautiously optimistic and expect the growth rate to remain between 6.5 and 6.8 per cent this fiscal year and slightly higher between 6.7 and
An analysis of economic parameters shows that history will be kinder to him more for his first term than the second
In its monthly economic review, the Finance Ministry cited the RBI's monetary policy stance among the reasons for the slowdown in the first half of FY25
The fourth part of the series assesses what it will take to encourage domestic manufacturing, while also being an alternative to China
India's GDP is forecasted to grow at 6.5% in FY25 and FY26, but weak private consumption, rising household debt, and sluggish government spending pose challenges
In 2025, macro policies will need to support domestic demand, but without compromising on macrofinancial stability risks
The central bank delivered its 3rd consecutive rate cut but signaled a slowdown in future reductions, leaving investors wary. The Fed trimmed its benchmark interest rate by a widely anticipated 25 bps
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Tuesday said the lower-than-expected GDP growth of 5.4 per cent in the second quarter was a "temporary blip" and the economy will see healthy growth in the coming quarters. Replying to a debate in the Lok Sabha on the first batch of Supplementary Demands for Grants, she said India has seen "steady and sustained" growth and its GDP growth rate has averaged 8.3 per cent in the last three years. India continues to be the fastest-growing major economy in the world, Sitharaman added. The second quarter growth is only a "temporary blip", and the economy will see healthy growth in the coming quarters, Sitharaman said. The finance minister further said there is no broad-based slowdown in the manufacturing sector. Half of the sectors within the overall manufacturing basket continue to remain strong. The Indian economy grew 6.7 per cent in the first (April-June) quarter and 5.4 per cent in the July-September period. About inflation, Sitharaman said it
Share of credit outstanding to MSMEs by scheduled commercial banks as a percentage of outstanding non-food credit is tepid
As the markets prepare to open, the mood is upbeat. At 6:34 AM, the GIFT Nifty futures are trading 28 points higher at 24,762 levels, hinting at a positive start
After utilising India's strengths in IT and software for its global operations, Rockwell Automation is betting on turning India into an important manufacturing hub, a senior company official has said. The US-headquartered automation major has started work on a factory in Chennai that will get commissioned in two phases, its president for Asia Pacific region Scott Wooldridge told PTI on the sidelines of the company's automation fair here. "both for software development and for manufacturing, we see India is going to be a very important hub for Rockwell," Wooldridge said at a time when the country is trying to increase the contributions of the manufacturing industry in the overall economy. The company had taken initial steps on manufacturing in the country about two years ago and the Chennai plant will be an extension of the same, he added. It can be noted that many global companies have been looking at the 'China plus one' strategy, which aims to reduce the reliance on India's north
In the previous trading session, the benchmark indices ended their five-day winning streak in response to the RBI Monetary Policy Committee's decision to maintain the repo rate at 6.5 per cent
Industry body CII has suggested the government to stick to the fiscal deficit target of 4.9 per cent of GDP for 2024-25 and 4.5 per cent for 2025-26, cautioning that "overly aggressive targets" beyond these could adversely affect India's economic growth. "India has been growing rapidly amidst a slowing global economy. Prudent fiscal management for macroeconomic stability has been pivotal to this growth," said Chandrajit Banerjee, Director General, CII, elaborating on suggestions for the forthcoming Union Budget. CII also highlighted the announcement in the Union Budget 2024-25 to keep the fiscal deficit at levels that help reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio. In preparation for this, the forthcoming budget could lay out a glide path to bring the central government's debt to below 50 per cent of GDP in the medium term (by 2030-31), and below 40 per cent of GDP in the long term, CII has suggested. Such an explicit target will have a positive impact on India's sovereign credit rating and ...
Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee: Food prices likely to keep headline inflation up in the near future
Speaking at Assocham's Bharat@100 Summit, CEA V Anantha Nageswaran emphasised that India's underlying growth story remains intact despite dismal Q2 GDP figures
The 10-year bond yield has fallen to three-year lows and the spread with the repo rate has declined to a 7-year low
India's swelling urban middle class has been the engine of its growth for far longer than government capex has
India's potential GDP growth is in the range of 6.5-7 per cent and the country should be able to achieve it on the back of things that done already in the last 10 years, Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran said on Monday. The Economic Survey projected India's GDP to grow at 6.5-7 per cent in 2024-25, down from a high of 8.2 per cent in the preceding financial year. Addressing IVCA's GreenReturns Summit, he said, "India's potential GDP growth is in the range of 6.5-7 per cent and we should be able to achieve it on the back of things that we have done already in the last 10 yearswhether it is in terms of augmenting the physical infrastructure or achieving financial inclusion." Emphasising the investment areas, he said, "We all know about the issue of intermittency. The investment shouldn't focus on setting up solar power plants or wind energy plants as we need to take into consideration the increasing cost of recycling solar panel waste and wind turbine waste. That is an area