However, the review by the NIPFP also listed compression in the government consumption expenditure and a subdued growth in private consumption as downward risks to the forecast
Economic think-tank National Institute of Public Finance and Policy (NIPFP) on Friday said it has estimated India's GDP growth at 7.1 per cent for the current fiscal, using high-frequency models. NIPFP, in a series of tweets, said the Centre is on a fiscal consolidation path through buoyancy in taxes and revenue expenditure compression. The economic think tank said that in 2023-24, states' capex growth is robust due to significant capex transfers from the Centre. While the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and Fitch Ratings have estimated India's growth at 7 per cent, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), S&P Global Ratings and Morgan Stanley projected a 6.8 per cent growth rate for FY25.
The consultancy, however, added that inflation is expected to remain above the Reserve Bank of India's target level of 4 per cent over the forecast period due to strong economic activity
Deloitte India on Friday said it estimates India's GDP growth at 6.6 per cent in the current fiscal helped by consumption expenditure, exports rebound and capital flows. In its India's economic outlook report, Deloitte said the rapid growth of the middle-income class has led to rising purchasing power and even created demand for premium luxury products and services. With the expectation that the number of middle-to-high-income segments will be one in two households by 2030/31, up from one in four currently, we believe this trend will likely become further amplified, driving overall private consumer expenditure growth, it said. Deloitte has revised India's economic growth prediction for last fiscal to a range of 7.6 to 7.8 per cent. In January, the firm had projected growth for 2023-24 fiscal in the range of 6.9-7.2 per cent. The country's GDP growth is estimated to reach around 6.6 per cent in FY 2024-25 and 6.75 per cent in the year after, as markets learn to factor in geopolitic
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said here on Tuesday that India has been the fastest growing economy in the last three consecutive financial years and this growth can continue in the coming years as well. She said the next 25 years will be critical for India. In the financial year 2023-24, India witnessed a growth rate of eight per cent in three quarters and is expecting a similar level of growth in the fourth quarter, she said, adding it has been a sustainable growth. "India has been the fastest growing economy in the last three consecutive financial years and this growth can continue in the coming years as well. The next 25 years will be very critical for India," Sitharaman said in a dialogue programme with industrialists and businessmen. She said that foreign investors are coming to invest in India due to the credibility of its economy. "Due to the economic policy, larger macroeconomic stability, stable government, stable taxation policy, transparent tenders and ...
Supply line disruptions and weather shocks to agriculture are key risks to outlook, says lender
India's economy grew by better-than-expected 8.4 per cent in the final three months of 2023 -- the fastest pace in one-and-half years
The ADB had in December last year projected the Indian economy to expand 6.7% in the 2024-25 fiscal
Says economic growth overstated at 8%, actually 6-6.5% and unsustainable without addressing K-shaped recovery
Creating adequate fiscal space is important to give impetus to the current growth trajectory, said former President Ram Nath Kovind on Saturday. Speaking at an event organised by TIOL here, the former president said no nation can prosper without predictability and certainty in the tax architecture. The fiscal architecture is one of its most important pillars, he said. Sound fiscal management attracts both public and private capital and improves the quality of the public-private partnership. "Over the years, we have made great progress in streamlining our taxation policy. The complex tax regimes themselves have been simplified beyond recognition" he said. Now there are fewer tax slabs, processes have been streamlined. taxation policy has become more predictable and investor confidence improved while ease of doing business has enhanced, he said. All this has been made possible by leveraging technology and going forward faceless tax assessment will be the norm, he said. Speaking at
Indian economy shows resilience with PMI growth, strong GST collections, and bank credit growth
Country's economy is projected to grow at 7.6% in the current fiscal year to March 31, according to the latest government estimates
Morgan Stanley expects India's GDP growth to remain robust, with an anticipated growth rate of around seven per cent in the fourth quarter of FY24
Agency's projection is lower than the Reserve Bank of India's and the government's growth estimate of 7%
Amber Enterprises, specialising in ACs and components, expects earnings to grow over 36 per cent CAGR from FY24-30 due to the PLI scheme
Former chief economic adviser Arvind Subramanian on Friday said India's latest GDP numbers are 'absolutely mystifying' and difficult to comprehend. India's economy grew by better-than-expected 8.4 per cent in the final three months of 2023 - the fastest pace in one-and-half years. "I want to be honest with you that the latest GDP numbers, I just simply can not understand them. "I say that with genuine respect and things. They are absolutely mystifying. They don't add up. I don't know what they mean," Subramanian said while speaking at the India Today conclave. The NSO has also revised GDP estimates for the first and second quarters of this fiscal to 8.2 per cent and 8.1 per cent from 7.8 per cent and 7.6 per cent, respectively. Elaborating further, Subramanian said while the implied inflation in these numbers is 1 to 1.5 per cent, actual inflation in the economy is somewhere between 3 and 5 per cent. "The economy is growing at seven and a half per cent, even though private consum
Government data showed fertiliser subsidies in the October-December quarter declined by nearly 70% to 307 billion rupees ($3.7 billion) from the same period a year ago
The National Statistical Office (NSO), in its second advance estimates data released on Thursday, revised the FY24 growth estimate upward to 7.6 per cent, from the 7.3 per cent projected in January
Yet, such discrepancies in India's economic data are not unprecedented. That's also the case with large downward revisions of past data that boost recent growth rates
India Inc on Thursday said 8.4 per cent GDP growth in the October-December quarter of FY24 has "surpassed" expectations, and the economy is on a high growth trajectory due to sustained reforms undertaken by the government. India's economic growth accelerated to 8.4 per cent in the October-December quarter of this fiscal, driven by double-digit growth in manufacturing and good showing by mining & quarrying and construction sectors. The GDP (gross domestic product) growth was 4.3 per cent in the October-December 2022 quarter, according to the data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) on Thursday. "Industry is enthused to note the strong set of GDP growth numbers for the third quarter (YoY), which surpassed expectations...What is more comforting to note is the fact that the robust expansion came despite the recurring spate of geopolitical flashpoints," said Chandrajit Banerjee, director general, CII. He further said the Indian economy is on a high growth trajectory ...