Data released on Friday showed India's gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a slower-than-expected pace of 6.7 per cent on an annual basis in the April-June quarter
India's gross domestic product slowed to a quarter low of 6.7 per cent in April-June this fiscal against 8.2 per cent in the year-ago period, mainly due to poor showing by the farm sector, according to government data. India remains the fastest-growing major economy, as China's GDP growth in the April-June quarter was 4.7 per cent. The agriculture sector recorded a 2 per cent growth, down from 3.7 per cent in the April-June quarter of 2023-24, as per the National Statistical Office (NSO) data released on Friday. However, the growth in the manufacturing sector accelerated to 7 per cent in the first quarter of the current fiscal compared to 5 per cent in the year-ago period. The previous GDP low was 6.2 per cent in January-March 2023.
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Economists at the country's largest lender SBI on Monday joined other watchers forecasting a slip in the economic growth and estimated India's real GDP growth to come at 7.1 per cent for the June quarter. The economists said the growth in gross value added (GVA) will fall below 7 per cent to 6.7-6.8 per cent for the April-June period this fiscal when compared to the year-ago period. "As per our 'Nowcasting Model', the forecasted GDP growth for Q1 FY25 would be 7.0-7.1 per cent, and GVA is at 6.7-6.8 per cent with a downward bias," the economists said. It can be noted that the real GDP growth had come at 7.8 per cent in the June quarter last year and the preceding March quarter. A slew of analysts have been pointing to a moderation in economic activity in the June quarter, mainly driven by softer manufacturing and lower government spending due to the general elections. The report also said that given the uncertain global growth outlook and the softening inflation, there is a space f
The only available yardstick for evaluating the tightness of monetary policy is the real interest rate. The nominal repo rate is useless for this purpose
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India's growth was much better than IMF expectations the last fiscal year and those carryover effects are affecting our forecast for this year, said Gita Gopinath
India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) on Wednesday upped India's GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal to 7.5 per cent from 7.1 per cent projected earlier on expectation of improved consumption demand. It said The ongoing growth momentum led by government capex, deleveraged balance sheets of corporates/banks, and incipient private corporate capex cycle has now found support from the union government budget. The budget promises to bolster agricultural/rural spending, improve credit delivery to MSMEs and incentivise employment creation in the economy. "Ind-Ra believes these measures would help in broad basing the consumption demand," the rating agency said while revising up its GDP growth estimate for FY25 to 7.5 per cent. Ind-Ra's growth projection is higher than that of RBI which projected FY25 growth at 7.2 per cent and Finance Ministry's Economic Survey which estimated GDP expansion between 6.5-7 per cent. Ind-Ra expects Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) to grow to a
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Company has 'unwavering confidence' in country's economic growth, says Sanjiv Puri
Encouraged by the budget on measures to increase integration into global value chains, the US India Business Council on Tuesday lauded the ambitious Union Budget as a key step in strengthening its global leadership in the Indo-Pacific and across the world. USIBC is eager to work closely with the Government of India to help it realize the full potential of Viksit Bharat, and we laud the Government's ambitious Union Budget 2024 as a key step in strengthening its global leadership in the Indo-Pacific and across the world as well as ushering new opportunities for partnership and collaboration between the United States and India, the world's oldest and largest democracies, USIBC president Atul Keshap said. Several of the budget's economic measures are likely to have important strategic impact in areas of shared priority between India and the US where USIBC has been a key partner to both governments, he said. Abolishing the angel tax clears an obstacle to ever closer bilateral technology
Speaking on the tourism sector, Pitti said that he expects the government to put some more focus on tourism as it provides many employment opportunities
The economists said the fiscal deficit target for 2024-25 could be slightly lowered, from the 5.1 per cent estimate laid out in the Interim Budget earlier this year
Asian Development Bank keeps FY25 growth projection unchanged at 7%
Projection must be weighed against 'downside risks from weather events and geopolitical shocks', it says
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A base year is the reference year whose prices are used to calculate the real growth (minus inflation) in national income