Page 4 - India Gdp Growth

India's GDP growth likely to stay strong in Q2FY26, say economists

Economists say the effect of a low deflator and low base is likely to boost expansion

Among the challenges ahead for India, trade is the biggest risk to growth

Nearly all segments of the economy supported growth in the first quarter

'Heartening to see this': Ficci president hails India's 7.8% Q1 GDP growth

Harsha Vardhan Agarwal highlighted that income tax relief and repo-rate reduction by the Reserve Bank of India were among several other factors for the GDP growth

Economy spurts 7.8% in Q1 FY26 as manufacturing, agri, services shine

India's GDP grew 7.8% in Q1 FY26, a five-quarter high led by manufacturing and services, though US tariffs pose risks to sustaining growth momentum

Proposed GST rejig saved the day for Indian stock markets, says Chris Wood

Wood has removed the investment in Aditya Birla Real Estate in his India long-only equity portfolio and replaced it with an investment in Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M)

India's Q1 FY26 GDP hits five-quarter high at 7.8%, beats RBI forecast

Q1 FY26 GDP: MoSPI data shows GDP growth above RBI's 6.5% estimate; nominal GDP at ₹86.05 trillion, GVA at ₹44.64 trillion

Indian economy likely grew solidly before Trump tariffs hit outlook

India's gross domestic product probably expanded 6.7 per cent in the three months to June, the first quarter of the financial year, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey

Tariff impact: Nomura cuts FY26 GDP forecast to 5.8% in worst-case scenario

Data from the Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) show that these sectors together employed around 21 million workers directly and via contractors in 2023, Nomura said

India's GDP growth likely slowed to 6.7% in Q1, set to ease further: Poll

The poll showed India GDP growth slowing to 6.5 per cent this quarter, 6.3 per cent in October-December and 6.2 per cent in January-March

Statsguru: Deflators likely to offset corporate results' impact on GDP

Deflators may offset corporate results' impact on GDP

India should join RCEP, focus on East Asia for GDP growth: Jeffrey Sachs

Sachs said that India could target 7 per cent GDP growth in the coming decade by focusing on East Asia

US tariff impact: India's FY26 GDP growth likely to take 60-bp hit

Economists expect India's FY26 GDP to face a 35-60 bps hit from US tariff hike; strong domestic demand may cushion the blow but targeted support may be needed

Trump's tariff hike could shave 0.3 pp off India's GDP: Goldman Sachs

India condemns new 25% duty on exports; total levy now at 50%; analysts expect talks before August 27 deadline

Goldman Sachs trims India's GDP forecast on Trump's 25% tariffs

Goldman Sachs lowered India's economic growth forecast after Donald Trump imposed a 25 per cent tariff

Trump tariffs may drag India's growth by 20-40 bps in FY26

Economists warn of a 0.2-0.4% GDP impact as key exports to US-pharma, smartphones, textiles-face higher duties; indirect effects on investment likely

Higher US tariffs may trim India's GDP growth by 30 bps: Barclays

The 25 per cent US tariffs, plus a penalty for Russian imports, could dent India's GDP growth by 30 basis points in the current fiscal, but the higher duty is unlikely to significantly affect India's domestic demand-driven economy, Barclays said on Thursday. If the 25 per cent tariff, announced by US President Donald Trump on Wednesday, is implemented from August 1, the effective average US import tariff on Indian goods will rise to 20.6 per cent in trade-weighted terms, as per Barclays estimates. This is sharply higher than both the pre 'liberation day' tariff rate of 2.7 per cent and the 90-day pause tariff rate of 11.6 per cent. In contrast, India's import tariff on US goods is lower, at 11.6 per cent in trade-weighted terms. Barclays said that given the relatively closed nature of the Indian economy, wherein domestic demand is the mainstay of growth. "We do not see this 25 per cent tariff threat impacting GDP growth meaningfully, pegging the likely impact at 30 bp. We expect ..

ADB lowers India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.5%, cites impact of US tariffs

The report said that despite these factors, India's economic activity remains robust, with domestic consumption set to grow strongly on the back of revival of rural demand

Ind-Ra cuts India's FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.3% on weak outlook

India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) on Wednesday trimmed India's growth projection for the current fiscal to 6.3 per cent, citing uncertainties around US tariffs and weak investment climate. Ind-Ra expects GDP in FY26 to grow 6.3 per cent y-o-y, 30bp lower than its earlier forecast of 6.6 per cent made in December 2024. The economy is facing both headwinds and tailwinds, it said in its mid-year economic outlook. "Major headwinds are: i) uncertain global scenario from the unilateral tariff hikes by the US for all countries and ii) weaker-than-expected investment climate. The major tailwinds are: i) monetary easing, ii) faster-than-expected inflation decline, and iii) likely above-normal rainfall in 2025", said Devendra Kumar Pant, Chief Economist and Head Public Finance, Ind-Ra. The Indian economy had grown at 6.5 per cent in 2024-25 (April 2024 to March 2025) Ind-Ra's projections for FY26 are lower than the 6.5 per cent GDP growth projected by the RBI and the Asian Development Bank .

What could move stock markets in H2 2025? Check outlook, Nifty Dec target

Analysts expect Nifty to rise up to 6 per cent in six months, with intermittent corrections likely due to global factors

India's economy to hold top spot for growth, but weaknesses remain: Poll

Private sector spending is still trailing far behind, and analysts generally agree the economy is still failing to create enough quality jobs for its large young population