Page 45 - Indian Economy

Decoded: Real vs nominal GDP - Key differences and which is more reliable

These two metrics, while similar on the surface, provide different perspectives on economic health and growth trends

India's forex reserves fall $8.7 billion to $626 billion, hit 10-month low

Foreign currency assets fell by $9.5 billion, while the value of gold reserves went up by $792 million

Economic growth poised to rebound as demand regains strength: RBI Bulletin

India's economic growth is poised to rebound as domestic demand regains strength, though the stickiness in food inflation warrants careful monitoring, the latest RBI Bulletin released on Friday said. An article on the 'State of the Economy' published in the January Bulletin also noted that the economic outlook for 2025 is divergent across countries with some loss of speed in the US; weak-to-modest recoveries in Europe and Japan; more moderate growth profiles in emerging and developing countries alongside a more gradual disinflation relative to advanced economies. "In India, there is a conducive quickening of high-frequency indicators of economic activity in the second half of 2024-25, bearing out the implicit pick-up in real GDP growth for this period in the annual first advance estimates of the NSO," it said. It further said, the headline inflation eased for the second successive month in December, although the stickiness in food inflation warrants careful monitoring of second orde

India's $4 trillion economy has entered structural slowdown: UBS Group

The deceleration is underpinned by a long-term moderation in credit growth, foreign direct investment, export competitiveness and earnings potential, UBS said

Markets Today: Wipro, TechM, RIL, Infy, Axis Bk Q3; FIIs; Capital Infra IPO

At 6:35 AM, GIFT Nifty futures indicated a weaker start for the markets, trading 56 points lower at 23,321.5

India to remain fastest-growing large economy in FY26, FY27: World Bank

The global economy is projected to expand by 2.7 per cent in both 2025 and 2026, the same pace as in 2024, as inflation and interest rates decline gradually

Infra outlays: Key expectations from the Union Budget allocations

l The CMIE data also points to a worrying 57.1 per cent year-on-year decline in the value of government projects completed and a 40 per cent decline in that of the private sector

A macro tightrope walk: Balancing domestic slowdown, global challenges

The challenge for macro policy is to respond to the domestic slowdown without appearing to let its guard down against a hostile global environment

Indian economy likely to grow between 6.5-6.9% in FY26, says Ficci

On the investment front, the government's focus on capital expenditure is expected to remain a key growth driver in 2025-26

Ficci lowers India's growth projection from 7% to 6.4% for current FY

Industry body FICCI on Thursday lowered India's growth projection for the current financial year to 6.4 per cent from 7 per cent estimated earlier. According to FICCI's Economic Outlook Survey, the revised projection is in line with the broad expectations and reflect a notable slowdown vis--vis 8.2 per cent GDP growth recorded in 2023-24. "...FICCI's Economic Outlook Survey projects an annual median GDP growth forecast of 6.4 per cent for 2024-25. The forecast in the current survey marks a moderation from 7.0 per cent estimate (for 2024-25) put out in the previous round conducted during the month of September last year," it said. The survey was conducted in December 2024 and drew responses from leading economists representing industry, banking and financial services sector. The participating economists observed global economy in 2025 to present a reasonable growth trajectory, with an underlying note of caution. Sharing their perspective on the expected impact of US President Donal

Global economy to weaken in 2025, India's strong growth continues: WEF

A majority of chief economists worldwide expect weaker global economic conditions in 2025 but India is likely to maintain a strong growth despite signs of some momentum being lost, a new report said on Thursday. In its latest Chief Economists Outlook, the World Economic Forum said the global economy is set to face significant challenges in 2025, with 56 per cent of chief economists surveyed expecting conditions to weaken. Only 17 per cent foresee an improvement, pointing to heightened uncertainty in key regions and the need for measured policy responses worldwide, it found. The US economy is expected to deliver robust growth in 2025, and South Asia, particularly India, is also expected to maintain strong growth. The outlook for Europe remains gloomy, with 74 per cent of respondents predicting weak or very weak growth this year. The outlook for China also remains weak, and growth is projected to slow gradually in the years ahead, the WEF said in the report prepared on the basis of

A piece of my mind: Budget should target 4% fiscal deficit, trade pacts

In India, after unprecedented 6% drop in real GDP in 2020-21 because of Covid and lockdowns, there was a remarkably strong recovery in the next three years with GDP growth averaging a little over 8%

Nomura sees muted Nifty returns in 2025, sets December target at 23,784

Nomura Nifty target: Nomura suggests investors stay highly "selective" and bet on stocks and/or sectors with relative valuation comfort

Digital transformation fueling India's economic growth and inclusion

India's dramatic digital transformation has empowered millions through a digital infrastructure [India Stack], democratising data, identity, and payments

Economy strong but equities face near-term challenges: ICICI Pru MF

The recent correction in the equity market, according to the asset manager, has eased multiples to an extent but valuations still remain high, especially in the midcap and smallcap space

Singapore sees opportunities in India's growing economy, says minister

India is growing and Singapore sees many opportunities to expand bilateral cooperation with South Asia's fastest growing economy, senior minister Lee Hsien Loong has said. "India is growing, and on the move," Lee, who served as prime minister for 20 years, told the Indian business community on Saturday. "Singapore has a good brand name in India and we have enjoyed very good ties with successive Indian governments," The Straits Times quoted Lee as saying. Singapore sees many opportunities to expand cooperation on fronts such as bilateral trade, skills training and fintech, alongside exploring fields such as health care as well as digital and green economies, he added. He also urged the Indian business community to make the most of these advantages. Lee highlighted the importance of the Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement (CECA), a nearly two-decade-old Singapore-India free trade agreement that has helped foster extensive trade, investment and travel links between the two .

Indian economy likely to remain 'a little weaker' in 2025: IMF MD

The Indian economy is expected to be "a little weaker" in 2025 despite steady global growth, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva has said. Georgieva also said she expects quite a lot of uncertainty in the world this year mainly around the trade policy of the US. In her annual media roundtable with a group of reporters on Friday, she said global growth is expected to be steady in 2025, but with regional divergence. Georgieva said she expects the Indian economy to be a little weaker in 2025. However, she did not explain it any further. The World Economy Outlook update week will have more details about it. The US is doing quite a bit better than we expected before, the EU is somewhat stalling, (and) India a little weaker," she said. Brazil was facing somewhat higher inflation, she said. In China, the world's second-largest economy, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) was seeing deflationary pressure and ongoing challenges with domestic demand, she said. "Low-income countri

Unlisted companies adding capacity at faster clip than listed peers

The concluding part of the series looks at the financials of unlisted firms and examines capex trends

Markets Today: TCS Q3; FIIs; Quadrant Future IPO allotment; US, UK bonds

Thursday's session had already painted a grim picture, with the Sensex plunging 528.28 points (0.68 per cent) to close at 77,620.21. The Nifty shed 162.45 points (0.69 per cent) to settle at 23,526.50

E-way bills in December at second highest level in two years, shows data

E-way bills are mandatory for the movement of consignments worth more than Rs 50,000 and are, therefore, an early indicator of demand and supply trends in the economy