Inflation Forecast And Expectations

MPC meeting: RBI ups GDP forecast to 7.3%, inflation outlook drops sharply

RBI cuts the repo rate to 5.25%, revises FY26 GDP growth to 7.3%, and lowers its inflation forecast to 2%, signalling stronger momentum and easing food-price pressures

No systematic bias in inflation forecasts, asserts RBI dy guv Poonam Gupta

RBI Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta said MPC inflation and growth forecasts show no directional bias and outlined the central bank's multi-model forecasting approach

RBI MPC October policy: Central bank cuts FY26 inflation estimate to 2.6%

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) stated that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for Q1 of 2026-27 is projected at 4.5 per cent

RBI lowers inflation forecast to 3.1% for FY26; growth outlook unchanged

August MPC: RBI cuts FY26 inflation forecast to 3.1% on easing food prices, favourable monsoon; growth outlook steady at 6.5%, CRR cut to begin in September

Policy space and stance: Inflation outlook will guide MPC's actions

It is important to understand the rationale behind the MPC's decision to reduce the policy rate by 50 basis points, as against the market expectation of 25 basis points

RBI cuts repo rate by 25 bps to 6%, lowers FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.5%

RBI lowers repo rate by 25 bps and trims GDP projection for FY26, citing controlled inflation and global trade and policy uncertainties

Fed could cut rates sooner if disinflation trend continues: Waller

The Fed is anticipated to hold its benchmark overnight rate steady in the 4.25 per cent-4.50 per cent range at its meeting later this month, but investors had expected the pause to last June

Govt bond yields may soften slightly as inflation falls below forecast

Market participants expect the benchmark yield to open around 6.85 per cent on Tuesday

Consumer price inflation likely eased to 5-month low of 4.91% in March

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said last week that food price volatility remains a concern

BOJ Governor Ueda sees benefits of positive inflation on policy process

"I believe that greater economic stability as a result of securing room for monetary policy responses will have significant positive effect on firms as they formulate their business plans," Ueda said

RBI MPC: Repo rate kept unchanged at 6.5%, FY24 GDP estimate hiked to 7%

RBI MPC: Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee decides to keep the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% and also keeps the FY24 inflation forecast unchanged at 5.4%

RBI MPC meeting: Key takeaways from Guv Shaktikanta Das' announcements

RBI MPC has decided to continue with the pause on repo rate at 6.5 per cent for the fourth time in a row

Barclays and Yes Bank raise India's inflation forecast as prices jump

Surging prices of vegetables and pulses pushed up inflation to a three-month high of 4.81% last month, ending four months of moderation

ADB cuts developing Asia's GDP outlook for 2023 amid global growth concerns

Growth in China, the largest economy in Asia, is expected to slow in 2022 to 3% against a 3.3% expansion predicted in a September report

Turkey sharply raises 2022 inflation forecast from 9.8% last year to 65%

Turkey sharply raised the country's inflation forecast for 2022 to 65 per cent, up from 9.8 per cent predicted one year ago, according to a government program published in the Official Gazette

S&P raises India inflation forecast by 50 basis points to 6.8% for FY23

India is facing the external pressures of higher commodity prices, US dollar dominance, and tightening financial conditions from a position of relative strength: S&P

Jerome Powell gambles on inflation easing as Fed waits for more jobs

Powell is doubling down on the US central bank's new policy framework

Why inflation undershot expectations

The sustained food disinflation is likely having a salutary impact on expectations