Macroeconomics

An opening for Indian gains as many aspects of macro policy are clarifying

The recent moves by the monetary policy committee, of cutting rates, are in the right direction, and should be seen in the larger context of macro policy

Finance ministry meets Moody's execs, makes case for ratings upgrade

Moody's said that Pakistan-India tensions, including the flare-up earlier in May, would weigh on Pakistan's growth more than on India's

Stanley Fischer, who shaped global macroeconomic policy, dies at 81

Fischer, known as Stan, served as vice chairman of the US Federal Reserve from 2014 to 2017 following eight years as governor of the Bank of Israel

India to generate 8 mn jobs per year for next 10-12 years: CEA Nageswaran

India has to generate 8 million jobs per year at least for the next 10-12 years and raise the share of manufacturing in GDP as it strives to achieve the vision of becoming a developed country by 2047, Chief Economic Advisor to the Government of India V Anantha Nageswaran said. "We have a vision to achieve a developed India by 2047. The biggest challenge, apart from India's size, is that the external environment is not going to be so benign for the next 10-20 years as one might have had in the last 30 years, starting from 1990 or so, Nageswaran said here Saturday. But within this context - that's a given, you can't choose your external environment beyond a point - we have to generate 8 million jobs per year at least for the next 10 to 12 years...And raise the manufacturing share of GDP, in the context of China having achieved such a tremendous manufacturing dominance, especially post-COVID, he said. Nageswaran was addressing the Columbia India Summit 2025 hosted by the Deepak and Nee

Lenders saw muted demand across sectors in the 2024 festive season

The leading contributing factors were the lack of softened interest rates, increase in risk weights on unsecured loans, and broader macroeconomic challenges

US tariff-related developments, trends, key drivers for markets: Analysts

Equity markets will take cues from the US tariff related developments, global trends and trading activity of foreign investors this week, analysts said. Markets may face volatile trends going ahead as investor sentiment continue to remain weak due to escalating trade tariff concerns and foreign fund outflows, experts noted. In February alone, the NSE Nifty tanked 1,383.7 points or 5.88 per cent. The BSE Sensex lost 4,302.47 points or 5.55 per cent last month. From its record peak of 85,978.25 hit on September 27 last year, the BSE benchmark index is down 12,780.15 points or 14.86 per cent. The Nifty dropped 4,152.65 points or 15.80 per cent from its lifetime high of 26,277.35 hit on September 27, 2024. "Investors will be closely watching key events, including the tariff policy, and jobless claims. In the near term, market conditions are expected to remain weak, with a gradual recovery anticipated as earnings improve from Q1 FY26 and global trade policy uncertainties subside," Vinod

Markets to track inflation data, global trends this week: Analysts

Investors would track a host of macroeconomic data announcements scheduled this week, including inflation numbers, and also monitor global market trends, and trading activity of foreign institutional investors, analysts said. The ongoing quarterly earnings announcements and the rupee-dollar trend would also influence the markets. "This week is set to be dynamic for global and Indian markets, driven by key macroeconomic data releases and corporate earnings. Market sentiment will be shaped by inflation figures, industrial production data, and major earnings announcements," Master Trust Group Director Puneet Singhania said. On Wednesday, the US inflation data for January will be in focus. Later in the day, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony will be closely watched for insights into interest rate expectations, Singhania said. "For India, inflation and industrial production data will be released on February 12," he said. On Thursday, the UK's GDP growth data will be released and on Fr

BS CEO poll: Corporate India sees demand recovery, capex surge in 2025

Top execs plan to go on hiring spree, expect govt to offer tax incentives

Crypto assets can negatively impact financial stability, says RBI report

The banking regulator emphasised the potential consequences of the widespread adoption of crypto-assets and stablecoins on an economy

Markets to track FII trading, macroeco data, trends this week: Analysts

Macroeconomic data announcements, trading activity of foreign investors and global trends will guide equity market movement this week, which would also mark the beginning of the new calendar year and month, analysts said. Movement of rupee, which registered the steepest fall in almost two years to hit its lifetime intra-day low on Friday, will also be tracked by investors. "Persistent FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) selling has been a source of pressure on Indian markets, and their stance in the new year could shape near-term trends. Meanwhile, monthly auto sales data will also be closely watched. As the Q3 earnings season approaches, corporate quarterly updates will begin trickling in, setting the stage for market expectations," Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd, said. On the international front, key economic indicators like manufacturing PMI data from China and the US, along with US jobless claims, will play a crucial role, Meena said. However, the .

Sobering projections

Macroeconomic impact of climate change will be big

Rapid adoption: India's BPM industry on cusp of revolution amid GenAI use

BPM industry has been growing faster than the IT services sector, which has been impacted by macroeconomic uncertainties

Macroeconomic data, global trends to drive mkt trends this week: Analysts

In a data-packed week, the domestic macroeconomic figures -- industrial production and inflation numbers -- along with global trends would dictate trends in the equity market this week, analysts said. According to experts, markets may face volatile trends due to high valuations. Equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty hit their fresh record peaks on Thursday. Besides, trading activity of foreign investors, movement of global oil benchmark Brent crude and rupee-dollar trend would also influence trading in equities. "This week's market focus shifts to inflation data releases. Both India and the US will unveil their Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures on Tuesday. On Thursday, WPI data will be announced. "Large-cap stocks may continue their outperformance as Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are expected to maintain their buying spree," Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd, said. Industrial Production data for January and inflation numbers for the month of ..

Metal prices unlikely to improve due to global macroeconomic state: ICRA

Global prices of metals, including aluminium, are unlikely to improve considerably in the near term due to uncertainties in the global macroeconomic environment, Icra said on Wednesday. Besides, energy costs are likely to increase in the second half of the current fiscal, as the domestic e-auction premia on coal is projected to be significantly higher. "International prices of three non-ferrous metals, viz., aluminium, copper and zinc, have been range-bound and fell by 2-3 per cent in the last two quarters. Such prices are unlikely to improve substantially in the near term owing to uncertainties in the global macroeconomic environment," Icra said in a statement. The increase in coal costs along with weak global sentiments impacting metal prices remain near-term concerns, Jayanta Roy, Senior Vice President and Group Head, Corporate Sector Ratings, Icra, said. With an improvement in metal supply, primarily in China, the global metal balance is likely to remain in surplus in 2024 as .

Oil drops 2% as markets mull OPEC+ cuts' efficacy, macroeconomic slowdowns

Brent crude futures fell $1.59, or 2.06%, to $75.61 a barrel by 1454 GMT. US WTI crude futures fell by $1.67, or 2.31%, to $70.65 a barrel

Fed rate decision, macroeco data, earnings to dictate mkt trends: Analysts

The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, global cues, macroeconomic data announcements and the ongoing quarterly earnings are the major triggers that will dictate trends in stock markets this week, analysts said. Besides, the trading activity of foreign investors and the movement of global oil benchmark Brent crude will also be tracked. "All eyes are on the outcome of the US Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for November 1, particularly due to the multi-year high levels of the US bond yields. Additionally, the policy decisions of the Bank of Japan will be closely watched. "Beyond these key events, global factors will also play a crucial role. Economic data releases from the US and China, as well as the ever-changing geopolitical situation, will influence market sentiment," said Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd. Among firms to announce their earnings this week are Adani Green Energy, DLF, TVS Motor Company, Bharti Airtel, GAIL, Hero MotoCorp, Tata Ste

China's CLSA ups India exposure on supportive macroeconomic outlook

Brokerage goes 303 bps overweight on domestic markets in MSCI Asia Pac ex-Japan portfolio

Top IT cos log muted sequential growth in Q2 amid sustained macro overhang

Large Indian IT services companies are expected to report "muted" sequential show in a traditionally strong second quarter, as macroeconomic challenges continue to weigh on global discretionary spending, say market watchers. The big earnings week for tech heavyweights is up ahead, with Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) scheduled to announce its results on October 11, and both Infosys and HCL Technologies on October 12. Wipro is slated to declare its Q2FY24 results next week, on October 18. Analysts tracking the sector are bracing for a subdued sequential performance by the large IT-pack saying weakness seen in Q1 is likely to persist with no meaningful signs of recovery or deterioration, thus dashing any hopes of a quick turnaround. "We expect Q2FY24, though seasonally strongest, to remain weak from a sequential growth perspective with quarter-on-quarter CC (constant currency) growth varying from -1 per cent (Tech Mahindra) to +1.9 per cent (HCLTech) among the top-five firms," ICICI .

Poor performance of public entities a risk to fiscal outlook: Pak FinMin

In recent years, the inflation rate in Pakistan has been volatile, influenced by various factors like currency devaluation, energy, and food prices in the global market

IT firms' growth in Q1 FY24 lowest in 10 qtrs, slowdown to get worse: ICRA

Order book and deal pipeline of most companies remain strong, says ratings agency