There is no room for overconfidence on the inflation front.
Banks charge higher premiums on loans despite benefitting from a consistent regime of low-cost funding
RBI lowered its inflation projection sharply from previous forecasts, but flagged risks on the upside on revised numbers
Urjit Patel says HRA revisions have to be excluded from CPI index, but, if there are second-round effects, RBI will take those into account
The current spike in vegetable prices is likely to be transient, but consumer inflation expectations have remained sticky at high levels
He argued that low food prices were unusual, vulnerable to upward pressures
All MPC members will need to observe a silent period of 7 days before and after the rate decision