Page 2 - Us Economy

US retail sales rise strongly; softening labour market a headwind

The third straight month of solid gains in sales reported by the Commerce Department on Tuesday is unlikely to prevent the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates on Wednesday

Additional rate cuts may offer diminishing returns: Vetri Subramaniam

SIP investors must diversify across market caps, with largecaps better for lump-sum bets amid high mid-smallcap valuations, says Subramaniam

US payroll data marked down a record 911,000 in preliminary estimate

The number of workers on payrolls will likely be revised down by a record 911,000, or 0.6%, according to the government's preliminary benchmark revision out Tuesday

US likely added modest 80K jobs in August, sign of cooling labour market

When the Labour Department put out a disappointing jobs report a month ago, an enraged President Donald Trump responded by firing the economist in charge of compiling the numbers and nominating a loyalist to replace her. Nothing quite so dramatic is likely Friday when the department releases hiring and unemployment numbers for August. They are expected to show that companies, government agencies and nonprofits added a modest 80,000 jobs last month, according to a survey of forecasters by the data firm FactSet. That would be a slight improvement on July's 73,000 but still offer more evidence that the American job market has cooled significantly from last year. The unemployment rate is forecast to stay at a low 4.2 per cent suggesting that employers are stuck in a no-hire, no-fire mode: They are reluctant to add many new workers but don't want to give up the ones they have. But there are signs they may be starting to cut staff. The US job market has lost momentum this year, partly .

50% US tariffs kick in from Wednesday: Shrimp crimp for sellers, consumers

A 50% import duty has slashed farm-gate shrimp prices in India while pushing up consumer prices in the United States

Markets eye US inflation, Powell's warning and key global data flow

Investors will monitor comments from Fed officials at public events in the coming week to gauge their appetite for a September rate cut

Trump's assault on institutions will be a litmus test of their importance

Do institutions matter? Donald Trump's sustained assault on them will give us an answer

This round of American exceptionalism is mediocre at best, despite rebound

A lazy interpretation is that critics were simply wrong about the Trump agenda

Trump tariffs get seal of approval as S&P affirms AA+ credit rating

The decision offers a glimmer of good news for Trump, who has pushed back against arguments that his historic program of tariffs will damage the US economy

Bessent urges Federal Reserve to lower rates by 150 basis points or more

Fed policymakers kept their benchmark at a target range of 4.25 per cent to 4.5 per cent at their last policy meeting

Trump says he may allow lawsuit against Fed chief Powell over renovations

Trump in a social media post on Tuesday resumed his criticism of the Fed chair over the central bank's decision to hold interest rates steady and again hammered Powell over the renovation work

Trump selects economist EJ Antoni to head Bureau of Labor Statistics

President Donald Trump has said that he has nominated E.J. Antoni, chief economist at the conservative Heritage Foundation, to head the agency that compiles and publishes the nation's employment and inflation figures. Our Economy is booming, and E.J. will ensure that the Numbers released are HONEST and ACCURATE, Trump said on social media late Monday. Antoni, if approved by the Senate, would replace Erika McEntarfer, who was appointed commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics by former President Joe Biden. Trump fired McEntarfer Aug. 1 after the July jobs report showed hiring slowed sharply this spring, with job gains in May and June revised much lower than initially estimated. Trump accused McEntarfer, without evidence, of rigging the jobs data for political reasons. The announcement comes one day before the BLS is scheduled to release the latest inflation data, for July. It is forecast to show that consumer prices rose for the third straight month as tariffs are pushing up t

US inflation likely to rise in July as higher tariffs drive up prices

The core consumer price index, regarded as a measure of underlying inflation because it strips out volatile food and energy costs, rose 0.3 per cent in July, according to the Bloomberg survey

Trump is winning the tariff war hands down; markets remain unshaken

His tariffs are bringing in higher revenues, shielding American industry - and the markets remain unshaken

Asia shares sideswiped by US economic jitters, retreat in oil prices

Some early resilience in US stock futures and a continued retreat in oil prices did help limit the losses, but the bleak message from the July payrolls report was hard to ignore

Trump gets economy he wants, but growth risks may spoil his victory lap

President Donald Trump is getting his way with the world economy. Trading partners from the European Union to Japan to Vietnam appear to be acceding to the president's demands to accept higher costs in the form of high tariffs for the privilege of selling their wares to the United States. For Trump, the agreements driven by a mix of threats and cajoling, are a fulfillment of a decades-long belief in protectionism and a massive gamble that it will pay off politically and economically with American consumers. On Sunday, the United States and the 27-member state European Union announced that they had reached a trade framework agreement: The EU agreed to accept 15 per cent US tariffs on most its goods, easing fears of a catastrophic trans-Atlantic trade war. There were also commitments by the EU to buy USD 750 billion in US energy products and make USD 600 billion in new investments through 2028, according to the White House. We just signed a very big trade deal, the biggest of them .

Gold may trade in tight range ahead of US data, Fed cues: Analysts

Gold prices are likely to remain range-bound in the coming week as investors await clarity on global trade negotiations, upcoming US macroeconomic data and signals from the Federal Reserve, analysts said. Traders will closely watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech and global PMI data from major economies, including the US, UK and Eurozone. The European Central Bank's interest rate decision will also be closely tracked for cues on the bullion price trajectory, they said. Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG - Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services, said that in the week ahead, focus will remain on the trade negotiation outcome, Fed official speeches, US macro data, including housing market, weekly initial claims, and durable goods orders. "Gold prices are seen consolidating in a range over the past couple of weeks amid a lack of fresh triggers and recovery in the US Dollar in the given period," Mer said, adding that downside in bullion looks limited as focus remains on the

Asian shares track Wall Street higher, yen weak ahead of Japan vote

Overnight, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq again closed at record highs as US data including retail sales and jobless claims beat forecasts, indicating a modest improvement in the economy

Stock Market close: Sensex gains 193 pts, Nifty at 25,461; SMIDs flat; IT, pharma, FMCG stocks rise

Sensex Today | Stock Market close, Friday, July 4, 2025: The Nifty Midcap 100 settled flat with a negative bias and Nifty Smallcap 100 was up 0.03 per cent

Trump's tariffs and tax policies test assumptions on US dollar, markets

As foreseen: swings in sovereign bond markets have been sharp, the Japanese yen rallied, and a comeback for emerging markets is finally materialising