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Monday, Nov 23, 2009
 
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High carryover and potential for breakouts23-NOV-09
Despite bullish undertones, the market is range-bound. It hasn't moved outside 4,900-5,100 since early November.
Range-trading may continue this week23-NOV-09
AA week of very narrow range trading ended with small positive gains. The Nifty closed at 5,052.45 points for a gain of 1.1 per cent. The Sensex closed up 1.02 per cent at 17,021.85 points. The Defty closed up by 0.65 per cent with the rupee losing a little ground.
High carryover in range-bound market16-NOV-09
A breakout is more probable, since the market rarely range-trades inside 150-200 points for extended periods.
High volatility on the cards09-NOV-09
High turnover and high volatility characterised trading last week. The FIIs increased their derivatives exposure as the market made a U-turn in mid-week.
Rebounds face resistance at 4,85009-NOV-09
The market bottomed and turned around in what seemed like a short-term correction inside an intermediate downtrend. The Nifty was up 1.8 per cent at 4,796.15 points, while the Sensex was up 1.65 per cent at 16,158 points. The Defty was ahead 2.46 per cent with the rupee hardening again.
Expiry effect in overbought market19-OCT-09
The cash market generated extraordinary volumes and saw net gains while the derivatives market displayed bullish sentiments and signs of decent carryover. There are also signs of traders bracing for settlement.
Daily volatility set to rise12-OCT-09
The derivatives market was characterised by steady volumes and narrow range-trading last week. There was underlying nervousness and premiums rose as there were net losses pretty much across the board.
Trading likely between 4,200-4,70010-AUG-09
Most of the technical factors suggest that the market has not yet bottomed.
Expect 600-point swings either way03-AUG-09
A very high volume settlement ended with an upwards breakout. The carryover pattern was excellent and FIIs are back in the thick of action.
Target 4,900 with resistance at 4,70003-AUG-09
The July settlement ended with a breakout that kept the Nifty on target for a rise till the 4,900 level. The Nifty closed on Friday at 4,636 points for a gain of 1.5 per cent. The Sensex was up 1.9 per cent week-on-week, closing at 15,670. The Defty gained 1.8 per cent as the rupee strengthened.
Intermediate trend reversal confirmed27-JUL-09
The 2009 peak of 4,693 is the next target and liable to be exceeded soon.
Anticipating rising volatility06-JUL-09
Option premiums ruled high as the market seemed braced for a bout of post-Budget volatility. There was also a dwindling of open interest that suggested caution on the part of traders.
Waiting for a Budget breakout06-JUL-09
Market values saw only nominal changes in the week prior to the Budget. The Nifty dropped to a low of 4,249 before recovering to close at 4,425 points for a gain of 1.11 per cent. The Sensex was up 1 per cent at 14,913 points. The Defty gained 1.95 per cent as the rupee saw some recovery. FIIs and DIIs remained net buyers in a week that saw low volumes.
Intermediate trend due for correction04-MAY-09
A correction is likely after a seven-week uptrend from a low of 2,539 in early March.
Sell-off likely near expiry20-APR-09
Given that it has been a one-way upmove, there is a good chance of profit-taking in the last five sessions of April.
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