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Gold's traditional relationship with geopolitical conflicts is changing, with inflation, interest rates and monetary policy emerging more important drivers of bullion prices, according to a report. In its H1 2026 Precious Metals Report, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd (MOFSL) said the first half of the year showed that geopolitical risks alone may not be enough to sustain a gold rally as investors increasingly assessed conflicts through their impact on inflation and interest rates. "H1 2026 demonstrated that the relationship between war and gold has become increasingly conditional," Navneet Damani, Head of Research, Commodities at MOFSL, said. Markets increasingly focused less on the geopolitical headlines themselves and more on their impact on inflation, real interest rates and monetary policy expectations, he added. "Rising bond yields emerged as the key headwind for gold, outweighing traditional safe-haven demand despite elevated geopolitical tensions," Damani said. Gold .
Developments surrounding US-Iran negotiations, movement in crude oil prices and key global economic data are expected to steer gold and silver prices next week, analysts said. The focus will squarely be on talks scheduled in Burgenstock, Switzerland, where US Vice President J D Vance is expected to lead discussions with Iranian officials to build on last week's framework agreement aimed at ending hostilities and reviving nuclear negotiations. Analysts said the outcome of the talks could influence risk sentiment and energy markets, with implications for bullions. Domestic commodity markets will remain closed during the morning session on Friday on account of Muharram. "Gold and silver momentum looks sideways/corrective as focus will remain on the negotiation between Washington and Tehran and also on the flow of crude oil, LNG and raw materials from the Strait of Hormuz," Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG - Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services Ltd, said. The precious .
Gold prices will remain sensitive to developments in West Asia, movement in crude oil prices, and a series of key economic data releases in the coming week, analysts said. Investors will monitor trade and inflation data from China and the US, mid-month Washington's consumer sentiment figures and India's Consumer Price Index (CPI) readings. The European Central Bank's monetary policy decision will also be in focus as market participants assess their impact on bullion and other commodities, they added. "Momentum for precious metals such as gold and silver still looks corrective," Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG -- Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services Ltd, said. Domestic commodity markets ended the week lower, with MCX gold futures for August delivery falling Rs 5,317, or 3.3 per cent, to Rs 1.55 lakh per 10 grams. Silver for July delivery fell Rs 18,461, or 7 per cent, to Rs 2.48 lakh per kilogram on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX). "Gold witnessed a weak ...
Gold and silver may face some selling pressure this holiday-shortened week as traders track peace talks between the US and Iran, crude oil rates and the Federal Reserve's policy decision, analysts said. Domestic commodity markets would remain closed on Friday on account of Maharashtra Day. "Focus in the coming week will remain on the progress in peace talks between the US and Iran, and their potential impact on oil, gold, and broader financial markets," Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG - Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services Ltd, said. On the macroeconomic front, traders will monitor monetary policy decisions from the US Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Bank of England and European Central Bank. Besides this, key US data on housing, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation and consumer confidence, along with factory activity numbers from major economies later in the week, will also guide sentiment, he added. Analysts said the April 29 Federal Open Market ...