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Food inflation likely to go up to 2% in FY20, says Goldman Sachs report

The brokerage said the focus has now shifted to farmers who are protesting against low food prices and demanding higher returns on their crops

Press Trust of India  |  Mumbai 

Food inflation
Representative image

in the country is likely to go up to 2 per cent in the financial year 2019-20 from the 0.7 per cent estimated for FY19, a report said Monday.

It can be noted that the low have been one of the prime factors which has aided the RBI to be more accommodatory in its rate setting recently.

In the report, foreign brokerage Goldman Sachs attributed the low in the last few months to the and vegetables which have been low for some time.

Deregulation of markets, which saw delisting of vegetables from the Agriculture Produce and Marketing Committee Act (APMC) in 14 states, has helped the vegetable prices, it said.

In the case of cereals, "active food management" policies have helped, it said, adding the government released buffer stocks in large quantities and went in for higher imports on this front.

Going forward, the is unlikely to shoot up sharply unless there is some shock related to weather events, it said.

"is likely to remain subdued going forward," it said, adding average food inflation will go up in the 1.5-2 percent range in FY20 from the 0.7 percent in FY19.

The brokerage said the focus has now shifted to farmers who are protesting against low and demanding higher returns on their crops.

It can be noted that in the last year of the current regime, there have been multiple marches by farmers, especially the one in national capital as well as one at the financial capital to voice their concerns.

The government responded first by assuring to double in five years, then promised a return of over 150 percent to farmers and also announced income support of Rs 6,000 per year for the small and marginalised farmers.

First Published: Mon, March 25 2019. 16:01 IST
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