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India's rural economy on V-shaped recovery from June, helping GDP

The year-on-year expansion partly reflected a low base so it's hard to say the recession is over

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Signals BE’s forecast of a 25% contraction in the April-June period may be underestimating GDP.

Abhishek Gupta | Bloomberg
India’s rural economy swung to growth in June after eight months of contraction, according to Bloomberg Economics’ tracker. The year-on-year expansion partly reflected a low base so it’s hard to say the recession is over. Even so, emerging strength in what amounts about 45% of gross domestic product bodes well for the broader economic recovery and signals BE’s forecast of a 25% contraction in the April-June period may be underestimating GDP.