No model is indicating a strong El Nino this year: IMD director-general

A strong El Nino could have an adverse impact on India's southwest monsoon that starts from June as almost 80% of El Nino years have seen 'below normal' rains

Though the Australian Bureau of Meteorology along with other global weather forecasting agencies have predicted a 60-70 per cent chance of El Nino this year, state-run India Meteorological Department (IMD) said its study of global models shows that there is little chance of a ‘strong’ El Nino in 2019.

In fact, the IMD said though El Nino has moved from ‘neutral’ to ‘moderate’ in the last few weeks, it is expected to stay at these levels during the pre-monsoon months of April, May and June. 

A strong El Nino could have an adverse impact on India’s southwest monsoon that starts