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Oil at 5-month high amid OPEC-led supply cuts, US sanctions, jobs data

International benchmark Brent futures were at $70.72 per barrel at 0225 GMT on Monday, up 38 cents, or 0.5 percent from their last close.

Reuters  |  SINGAPORE 

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 prices rose to their highest level since Nov. 2018 on Monday, driven up by OPEC's ongoing supply cuts, U.S. sanctions against and and strong U.S. jobs data.

International benchmark Brent futures were at $70.72 per barrel at 0225 GMT on Monday, up 38 cents, or 0.5 percent from their last close.

U.S. Intermediate (WTI) crude were up 37 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $63.45 per barrel.

Brent and WTI both hit their highest levels since November last year at $70.76 and $63.48 per barrel, respectively, early on Monday.

"Brent prices increased more than 30 percent year-to-date as OPEC+ continued to cut supply for 4 months in a row and optimism over U.S.-trade talks helped to buoy the demand outlook," U.S. said in a note released over the weekend.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-affiliated allies like Russia, known as OPEC+, have pledged to withhold around 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) of supply this year to prop up prices.

FGE said OPEC-led supply cuts meant "excess inventories are disappearing and the market looks healthy," adding that "the market is poised for prices to rise to $75 per barrel or higher" for Brent.

Traders said strong U.S. jobs data from Friday also helped lift Asian markets early on Monday.

prices have further been driven up by U.S. sanctions against OPEC-members and

"Sanctions can cut 500,000 bpd of Venezuelan exports. Add that to a cut in waivers and prices can rise substantially," FGE said.

There remain, however, some factors that could bring prices down later this year.

is a reluctant participant in its agreement with to withhold output, and Russian production may increase again if a deal with the producer club is not extended once it expires before July 1, said on Friday.

Russian reached a record high of 556 million tonnes, or 11.16 million barrels per day (bpd), last year.

In the United States, reached a record 12.2 million bpd in late March.

U.S. crude exports have also risen, breaking through 3 million bpd for the first time earlier this year.

"With the new Permian pipelines (from July), we can see a boost of 500,000 to 600,000 bpd in U.S. exports," FGE said.

There also still remain concerns about the health of the global economy, especially should and the fail to resolve their trade dispute soon.

"Global (trade) demand has weakened, and existing tariffs on Chinese goods shipments to the U.S. are providing an additional drag," credit rating agency Moody's said on Monday, although it added that Chinese monetary stimulus measures would likely support growth over 2019.

 

 

First Published: Mon, April 08 2019. 09:29 IST
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