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Interim Budget 2019: Why BofA-ML expert expects fiscal surprise for markets

The concerns about the health of India's finances have coincided with a rebound in prices of oil -- India's top import -- and below-average revenue from goods and services tax and asset sales

Bond, rupee
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Subhadip Sircar and Anto Antony | Bloomberg
India’s sovereign bonds market has been jittery of late, with investors bracing for the government to announce populists measures in the federal budget due this Friday. Bank of America Merrill Lynch isn’t perturbed.

Bonds are poised to rally as fears about fiscal slippage are overdone and the central bank will likely start easing policy as early as next week, said Jayesh Mehta, who in August correctly predicted the end to the selloff in local bonds.

“Markets will be positively surprised on the fiscal front,” Mehta, the country treasurer at the bank said in an interview in Mumbai.

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