Inversion of the US Treasury yield curve and the possibility of the world’s largest economy entering a recessionary phase triggered a fall in equity markets across the globe last week. However, the recovery was equally swift. VAIBHAV SANGHAVI, co-chief executive officer, Avendus Capital Public Markets Alternate Strategies, tells Puneet Wadhwa that looking at the economic data, the US still seems far away from a such a phase. Edited excerpts:
Have the global markets overplayed the fears of a possible US recession?
Historical correlations on inversion of the yield curve and recessions are strong. One cannot ignore this. However, a recession is extremely