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Oil stays above $68 as investors eye inflation

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Press Trust of India Singapore

Oil prices lingered above $68 a barrel today in Asia after doubling since March on investor expectations that a massive global fiscal stimulus could spark an economic recovery and inflation.

Benchmark crude for July delivery was down 25 cents to $68.33 a barrel by midday in Singapore in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. On Friday, the contract rose $2.27 to settle at $68.58.

Investors have been buying commodities, traditionally seen as a hedge against inflation, on worries that this year's huge fiscal and monetary easing around the world could eventually send prices soaring.

"There's a lot of concern about inflation, even talk about hyper-inflation down the road," said Christoffer Moltke-Leth, head of sale trading for Saxo Capital Markets in Singapore. "Oil right now is a freight train barreling upward."

 

Traders have also been investing in oil on signs the worst of a severe recession in the US is over, and that growth may be picking up in China.

"It looks like the market expects the turnaround is just around the corner," Moltke-Leth said. "But the economy is still deteriorating, just less than before."

Investors will be watching for the weekly petroleum inventory data from the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration tomorrow for signs crude demand may be growing.

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First Published: Jun 02 2009 | 12:12 PM IST

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