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'Good monsoon for central region, low in east, northeast and south'

IANS  |  New Delhi 

With high probability of normal at 97 percent predicted for 2018, forecaster on Tuesday forecast to receive highest rainfall at 108 percent between June and September.

A figure between 96 to 104 percent is considered normal Below 90 per cent rainfall is considered deficient, 95 per cent is considered below normal and between 105 and 110 per cent is above normal.

Giving its regional distribution forecast, has predicted highest rainfall for that includes north Maharashtra, Konkan (Maharhtra, Goa, Karnataka), Vidarbha, and parts of

Its predictions have an error estimate of plus-minus eight percent.

The central region is expected to have 15 percent excess rainfall and 10 percent below normal with five percent chances of drought.

However, the models suggest lowest rainfall for East and Northeast region, keeping it at 95 percent, with only five percent chance of excess rainfall.

"that comprises of Bihar, and may see better rainfall than Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, and Tripura," the forecast said.

For the south peninsula, the seasonal rainfall is likely tobe around 97 percent, with five percent chances of excess rainfall and 20 percent below normal.

According to Skymet, few parts of southern states are likely to see deficient rains this time. The forecast adds that Rayalaseema, south interior Karnataka, and may see some poor rainfall.

"Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, and Rayalaseem are likely to see deficient rains in July and August," Mahesh Palwat, told IANS.

The northwest region is likley to recieve 99 percent.

"We expects that significant contribution would come from hilly states of Jammu and Kashmir, and Uttarakhand as compared to plains of Punjab, Haryana, and and NCR," Palawat said.

According to Skymet, could be delayed for the regions including Delhi, north Rajasthan, and

For the region, there are fiver percent chance of excess, 20 percent chance of above normal, ten percent chance of below normal, five percent chances of deficient and 60 percent chance of normal.

The average seasonal rainfall in India between 1951 to 2000 has been recorded at 89 cm.

In 2017, the average seasonal rainfall over was 95 per cent, in 106 per cent, in southern peninsula 92 per cent and in 89 per cent.

in October 2017 said that while 72 per cent of the total area of the country received normal rainfall, 13 per cent area got excess rainfall and 15 per cent deficient seasonal rainfall.



(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Tue, April 17 2018. 18:42 IST