December 2025 CPI-based inflation: The increase in headline inflation is mainly attributed to an increase in the prices of items across personal care, vegetables, meat and fish, egg, and pulses
In absolute terms at current prices, the economy is projected to attain the size of ₹357.14 trillion, which is marginally higher than the level assumed in the 2025-26 Budget
India is preparing to rejig methodology for computing CPI and revamp monetary policy mandate for targeting retail inflation in 2026 after a year of benign price situation due to subdued food cost and GST reduction. Consumer Price Index (CPI) based retail inflation remained in the Reserve Bank's comfort zone (2-6 per cent) and is likely to stay that way in the next year also, keeping open the possibility of at least one more reduction in rates by the central bank in the coming months. Besides cooling food prices, the decision of the government to reduce GST rates on about 400 items in September helped in further improving the price situation in the country. The wholesale price index (WPI), too, showed clear signs of easing of inflationary pressures through 2025. Early months recorded positive but declining WPI inflation, reflecting softening price pressures especially in food and fuel categories. By June, WPI entered deflation and the downward trend continued with negative prints in
November CPI-based inflation: The food inflation in November stood at -3.91 per cent, marking an increase from -5.02 per cent in October
The IMF has 'assured' that its 'C' rating for India's national accounts data will be reassessed once the new gdp series is released in feb 2026
A forward looking approach would prompt rate cut as H2 GDP growth likely to be softer
October 2025 WPI-based inflation: The negative rate of inflation is primarily due to a decrease in prices of food articles, crude petroleum & natural gas, electricity, and mineral oils
In rural India, retail prices slipped into deflationary zone with the NSO reporting a 0.25 per cent drop in the CPI (Rural), compared to a 1.07 per cent increase in September
Inflation could stay low for some time, but should be viewed with caution amid global risks and climate change
October CPI-based inflation: India's food inflation dropped sharply in October, falling to -5.02 per cent from -2.28 per cent in September
The CPI and its core measure, which excludes more volatile food and energy costs, each rose a lower-than-forecast 3 per cent in September from a year ago
Housing is an important component of the CPI series as it has a weightage of 21.67 per cent in urban areas and 10.07 per cent at the all-India level in the current series
With inflation easing and rate cuts on the horizon, bond yields may soften while the rupee steadies as trade negotiations with the US shape market sentiment
Ram Singh signals potential for multiple rate cuts in FY26-FY27, citing low inflation and scope for accommodative monetary policy to support growth
25-bps rate cut by December looks likely, but RBI's neutral stance and global uncertainties mean yields may not fall sharply, says Jain
September CPI-based inflation: The inflation dipped in September after an increase in August that marked the first monthly rise in inflation in 10 months
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) stated that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for Q1 of 2026-27 is projected at 4.5 per cent
RBI will pare CPI inflation projection again, but might not change growth estimate for now; dovish undertone likely
Retail inflation inches up to 2.07% in August; edible oils, tomatoes, and precious metals see record price rise, with Kerala topping state-wise inflation charts
India's CPI rose slightly in August on a low base, with rural and urban prices diverging. Economists flag benefits for consumers but risks for government finances