Crisil

Crisil raises India's FY26 GDP forecast to 7% after strong Q2 growth

Crisil has raised its forecast for the country's GDP growth to 7 per cent from 6.5 per cent for the current financial year, following the first-half growth of 8 per cent that exceeded expectations. Chief economist of Crisil, Dharmakriti Joshi, said that India's real GDP growth stood at 8.2 per cent in the second quarter, exceeding expectations. However, due to easing inflation, the nominal GDP growth was modest at 8.7 per cent. The first half growth of eight per cent and an expected slowdown to 6.1 per cent in the second half owing to the impact of higher US tariffs, Joshi said. According to Crisil, private consumption was the main driver of higher real GDP growth. From the supply side, growth in manufacturing and services saw a significant rise. Joshi said lower food inflation stoked discretionary spending in the country. Joshi said that the third quarter is expected to continue benefiting from these tailwinds. While government investment will stabilise likely, there could be a .

State capital outlay to rise 4-6% but stays below long-term average: Crisil

Capital outlay of states is expected to grow from four per cent to six per cent in the current financial year touching approximately Rs 7.5 lakh crore, Crisil Ratings said in its report on Friday. This would be lower than seven per cent in the last financial year and well below the decadal average of 11 per cent as rising revenue deficits are limiting financial flexibility, the report said. Water supply and sanitation, including housing and urban development and irrigation, will continue to be the main drivers of the capital expenditure, the report said. The top 18 states will account for 94 per cent of capital outlay of the states. According to the report, rising revenue deficit of the states are due to slow pace of growth due to moderation in GST rates post rationalisation, slowing devolution from the Centre and lower nominal GDP growth driven by easing inflation. On the other hand, revenue expenditure is set to grow sharply by seven per cent to nine per cent, driven by committe

Mall operators expected to clock revenue growth of 12-14% in FY26: Report

Crisil expects mall operators to post strong revenue growth in FY26, driven by new mall additions, robust occupancy, reduced GST rates and improved consumption trends

India's merchandise exports drop 11.8% in Oct after US tariff hike: Crisil

India's merchandise exports fell 11.8 per cent year-on-year, since August 2024, to USD 34.38 billion in October, Crisil said in its report. This follows a 50 per cent increase in US tariffs on August 27 this year, a move that has subdued exports for the second month in a row, the report said. The decline in exports was broad-based across petroleum products, gems and jewellery and core sectors. Petroleum products exports declined 10.4 per cent year-on-year in October, compared to a growth of 15.1 per cent in September. Similarly, core exports slipped to 10.2 per cent compared to 6.1 per cent growth in September 2025, the report said. Merchandise exports to US decreased 8.6 per cent year-on-year to USD 6.3 billion in October. This was an improvement from the 11.9 per cent decline in September, according to the report. The announcement by the US on November 16 to cut tariffs on 254 food items bodes well for some of the agricultural exports, such as tea and spices, the report ...

Cement makers to invest ₹1.2 trillion over three years: Crisil Ratings

Capex during FY26-FY28 to be 50% higher than the previous three years; industry to add up to 170 MT of capacity amid strong demand, says Crisil Ratings

GST cut on commercial vehicles to reduce fleet acquisition costs: Crisil

Crisil Ratings said post the rationalisation of GST on commercial vehicles, acquisition of new fleet by the operators would decline substantially. It said in a statement on Monday that GST on commercial vehicles has been reduced to 18 per cent from 28 per cent. "This will bring down the acquisition cost of fleet operators," it said. Domestic commercial fleet operators are expected to clock a revenue growth of eight per cent to ten per cent this financial year, according to the statement. Strong domestic demand and import-related fleet requirements will drive growth. Higher revenues and stable margins will result in improved cash flows, which will partially fund the incremental working capital requirement, the statement said. Dependence on external short-term debt will be limited, and operators will undertake additions to their fleets funded by long-term loans. Increased fleet utilisation will ensure operating margins to remain stable between eight per cent to 8.5 per cent, accordi

Execution delays in smart electricity meter projects to hit returns: Crisil

Crisil Ratings says slower installation of smart meters and payment delays under the RDSS scheme could reduce the internal rate of return for AMISPs by up to 150 basis points

Securitisation volumes rise to ₹73,000 crore in Q2 FY26: ICRA report

NBFCs led issuances while bank-originated deals slowed; ICRA and Crisil see steady demand from microfinance and corporate transactions in Q2 FY26

Crisil leases office space in Mumbai, to pay ₹597 crore over 15 years

Crisil has leased floors 10 to 15 in the property and will pay a monthly rent of ₹2.35 crore, translating to Rs 94 per square foot per month

US tariffs on Indian goods pose major growth risks: Crisil Intelligence

High tariffs imposed by the United States on Indian goods pose a major risk to the country's growth, Crisil Intelligence said in its September report. The tariffs will impact both Indian goods exports and investments, the report added. However, domestic consumption, driven by benign inflation and rate cuts, is expected to support growth, it said. The country's GDP rose to a five-quarter high of 7.8 per cent in the first quarter of fiscal 2025-26, up from 7.4 per cent in the similar quarter in the previous year. Nominal GDP growth, however, slowed to 8.8 per cent from 10.8 per cent during the same period, it added. The report said consumer price index (CPI) inflation is likely to soften to 3.5 per cent in the current fiscal from 4.6 per cent in the previous year. Healthy agricultural growth is expected to keep food inflation under check, though the impact of excess rain was yet to be fully assessed. Lower crude prices and benign global commodity prices are expected to contain non

Stock crash ahead? BSE, Max Health face up to 23% downside risk; check why

Midcap stocks BSE, 360 One Wam, Max Healthcare, Crisil and Coforge look technical weak on charts, hence may dip from current levels. Here are the key levels to track on these 5 stocks.

Crisil to acquire McKinsey PriceMetrix to expand wealth management insights

Crisil, an S&P Global Company, announced the acquisition of McKinsey PriceMetrix Co. (PriceMetrix), a leading provider of performance benchmarking and data-driven insights for the wealth management industry. PriceMetrix, based in Toronto, serves leading wealth management firms in the US and Canada. Its proprietary database covers USD 8 trillion in assets under management and 30 million investment accounts, backed by 25 years of data, rating agency Crisil said in a statement. The acquisition includes key products such as ValueOne, FeeCheck, CommissionCheck, SignalOne, advisory services, and comprehensive surveys of the North American wealth management sector, it said. This planned acquisition aligns with Crisil's strategy to scale in wealth management and extend sector benchmarking capabilities to large global banks, traditional wealth managers, and registered investment advisors (RIAs), it said. With this acquisition, Crisil strengthens its position as a leading provider of ...

Crisil projects 3.2% headline inflation for 2025-26, sees room for rate cut

Research and ratings firm Crisil said that the headline inflation during 2025-26 is projected to be 3.2 per cent, lower than its earlier estimate of 3.5 per cent. In its latest report, Crisil said that the moderation implies a decline of 140 basis points in CPI inflation during this financial year, which is likely to give space for monetary easing. It said the RBI may cut rates by another 25 basis points this year. According to Crisil, lower inflation and reduced interest rates should increase domestic demand in the economy as global headwinds mount. The report also said that the excessive rains during the kharif season is a risk as it could cause disruptions in key horticulture and foodgrain-growing regions like Punjab which is facing its worst floods in four decades. CPI inflation inched up to 2.1 per cent in August 2025, from 1.6 per cent in July, moving above the RBI tolerance threshold of two per cent. Food inflation has started to move up from low levels but trails the head

Cost of veg thali rises to 8-month high of ₹29.1 in August, says Crisil

Crisil said veg thali cost rose to an eight-month high of Rs 29.1 in August due to high tomato prices, while both veg and non-veg thali costs were lower year-on-year

GST cut to drive 200 bps boost in two-wheelers, 100 bps in PVs: Crisil

GST Council's two-rate tax structure to cut vehicle prices by up to 10%, supporting festive auto sales for two-wheelers, small cars, and compact SUVs

US tariff may cut FY26 revenue of Indian diamond polishers by 30%: Crisil

India's natural diamond polishing industry faces a 28-30 per cent fall in revenues to USD 12.50 billion in this financial year as the steep 50 per cent tariff imposed on Indian exports by the US kicks in, a report said on Thursday. An additional 25 per cent tariffs on Indian products entering the American market came to effect on Wednesday after the US administration's move to penalise India for purchasing Russian oil. This is on top of the 25 per cent the reciprocal tariff imposed by US President Donald Trump in April. During 2024-25, the revenue of the natural diamond polishing industry in India stood at around USD 16 billion, Crisil Ratings said in a report. The blow will follow a 40 per cent degrowth over the past three fiscals because of a fall in both prices and sales volume of natural diamonds as demand in the US and China dropped, and competition from lab-grown diamonds rose, it added. Crisil Ratings said 50 per cent tariffs, effective this week, makes exports to the US tou

Uncertainties around tariffs may affect capex decisions this fiscal: Crisil

Despite the healthy corporate sheets supporting fresh investments, the imposition of the tariffs is likely to hit sentiments

Revenue of large, diversified EPC firms to grow 9-11% in FY26: Crisil

Diversified engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) companies are likely to witness a modest rise of 9-11 per cent in revenue in the current financial year, according to Crisil Ratings. The growth in revenues for large and diversified EPC firms is expected to be driven by steady growth in infrastructure capital expenditure, healthy order books and faster project execution, with a favourable shift in the order mix, Crisil Ratings said on Monday. The Crisil Ratings study covered 15 EPC companies, which accounted for Rs 3.15 lakh crore in annual revenue during the previous fiscal year. The fortunes of these companies are closely tied to the capital expenditure (capex) outlays of both government and private sector entities, it said in a statement, adding that infrastructure capex alone accounts for 75 per cent of India's total capex. Additionally, a few EPC companies have also expanded overseas to tap opportunities in diverse infrastructure sectors. "This fiscal, the total ...

MSMEs in textiles, diamonds, chemicals to be most hit by US tariffs: Report

The imposition of higher tariffs by the US will significantly impact the micro, small and medium enterprise sector, which accounts for around 45 per cent of India's exports, while MSMEs in textiles, diamonds and chemicals are likely to be the most hit, a report by CRISIL Intelligence said. The US levies ad valorem duty of 25 per cent on Indian goods. However, it has imposed an additional 25 per cent tariff which will be effective from August 27 this year. This brings the total tariffs to 50 per cent, which will have a meaningful impact on several sectors in India, the report said. Textiles, gems and jewellery, which account for 25 per cent of India's exports to the US, are likely to be most affected. The MSMEs have more than 70 per cent share in these sectors and will be hit hard, the report said. Another sector which is likely to face the heat is chemicals, where MSMEs have a 40 per cent share. The gems and jewellery sector at Surat in Gujarat, which dominates diamond exports, wil

MoRTH tightens HAM norms; 25% of developers may be barred from bidding

Crisil says revised financial and technical norms for HAM projects could restrict 25 per cent of current developers, with stricter net worth and execution track record criteria