Page 9 - Gdp Forecast

$5 trillion economy goal for 2025 nearly impossible: Raghuram Rajan

Former RBI governor Raghuram Rajan has attributed the sharp uptick in GDP in the first half of the current fiscal to infrastructure spending and good performance by large economies of the world but added India has to do a lot of catching up and the USD 5 trillion economy goal for 2025 is nearly impossible. Rajan further said that even as India's growth rate is strong, private investment and private consumption have not picked up. "So if you look at why we have done so well this year, one of the reasons we are doing so well is also because the world is doing well. "... the other reason for this very strong growth in the first half is tremendous government spending on infrastructure," Rajan told PTI. India retained the tag of the world's fastest-growing major economy, with its GDP expanding by a faster-than-expected rate of 7.6 per cent in the July-September quarter on booster shots from government spending and manufacturing. At constant (2011-12) prices in April-September 2023-24 (

RBI MPC: Repo rate kept unchanged at 6.5%, FY24 GDP estimate hiked to 7%

RBI MPC: Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee decides to keep the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% and also keeps the FY24 inflation forecast unchanged at 5.4%

Indian economy to grow at 6.5% in FY24: Chief Economic Advisor Nageswaran

The Indian economy will grow at 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal ending March 31, 2024, Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran said on Thursday. This decade is going to be the decade of uncertainty. If the corporate sector delays its investment, then the virtuous cycle of employment generation and economic growth will not materialise, Nageswaran added. "When it comes to the finance ministry, our emphasis has been to plan conservatively, both with respect to nominal GDP growth assumptions, buoyancy assumptions for revenue growth, etc. "And I think, when I talk about being able to achieve six and a half per cent in real GDP growth on average, I am giving myself enough room to surprise on the upside," he said while addressing an event organised by industry body CII. The Indian economy grew 7.2 per cent in 2022-23. The Reserve Bank also expects growth to be 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal. India's economy grew 7.6 per cent in the September quarter of this fiscal and remained

Day after Q2 GDP data, economists raise India's FY24 growth forecast

However, analysts continue to exercise caution for the second half of the current fiscal year and FY25 as consumption remains a concern

Nifty 50's best month since July 2022 on IT, energy stocks, GDP data eyed

GDP growth is forecast to have moderated to 6.8% in the September-quarter from 7.8% in the previous quarter, but the country still remained the fastest growing major economy, according to Reuters

Monetary Policy Committee may have underestimated economic growth for Q2

Most economists peg it higher than 6.5%, numbers to come today

India to remain fastest-growing major economy, demand uneven: Poll

Gross domestic product (GDP) growth is forecast to have slowed to 6.8% in the July-September quarter from 7.8% in the previous quarter

S&P Global, Morgan Stanley peg India's GDP growth at 6.4% in 2024

Those at Goldman Sachs, on the other hand, see the Indian economy growing a tad lower at 6.3 per cent in the year ahead.

S&P Global hikes India's FY24 GDP growth forecast by 40 bps to 6.4%

However, for FY25, the GDP growth projection has been slashed by 50 basis points (bps) to 6.4 per cent

Uncertain outlook

IMF warns of geopolitical risks to world economy

RBI MPC meeting: Key takeaways from Guv Shaktikanta Das' announcements

RBI MPC has decided to continue with the pause on repo rate at 6.5 per cent for the fourth time in a row

Run-up to RBI monetary policy review: Expect another hawkish pause

The surge in the headline CPI inflation has expectedly proved to be transient. The print had cooled off to 6.8 per cent in August 2023 from the 15-month high of 7.4 per cent in July

Morgan Stanley ups India's FY24 economic GDP forecast while BofA cuts

Economists at BofA Global Research, however, cut their estimates as quarterly growth missed their forecast

Moody's ups GDP projection to 6.7% for CY2023 on robust economic momentum

Moody's Investors Service on Friday raised India's growth projection for 2023 calendar year to 6.7 per cent on account of robust economic momentum. "Strong services expansion and capital expenditures propelled India's 7.8 per cent real GDP growth in the second (April-June) quarter from a year ago. We have accordingly raised our 2023 calendar year growth forecast for India from 5.5 per cent to 6.7 per cent," Moody's said in its Global Macro Outlook. "Given the robust underlying economic momentum, we also recognise further upside risk to India's economic growth performance," it added Moody's said since the second quarter outperformance creates a high base in 2023, "we have lowered our 2024 growth forecast from 6.5 per cent to 6.1 per cent". India's monsoon season which runs from June to October could also see below average rainfall, resulting in higher food prices. So far, as of August 29, the India Meteorological Department has estimated a 9 per cent rain deficiency across the ...

Nomura raises India's economic growth forecast for FY24 to 5.9%

India's Gross domestic product (GDP) expanded a more-than-expected 7.8% on an annual basis in the June quarter, Thursday's data showed, accelerating from 6.1% growth recorded in the March quarter

Economy likely to expand by around RBI's projection of 8% in Q1, FY24

Various analysts that Business Standard spoke to put GDP growth in the range of 7 to 8.5 per cent for Q1 of FY24

Tomato woes: MPC pegs inflation at over 6 per cent in current quarter

Inflation unlikely to fall to 4% target even in Q1 FY25; GDP growth projections kept intact

RBI retains FY24 GDP forecast at 6.5%, raises inflation projection to 5.4%

The RBI on Thursday retained the GDP growth projection for current fiscal year at 6.5 per cent and raised the inflation projection marginally to 5.4 per cent due to spike in vegetable prices, including tomatoes. Unveiling the bi-monthly monetary policy, Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta Das said domestic economic activity is maintaining resilience. He also said the recovery in kharif sowing and rural incomes, the buoyancy in services and consumer optimism should support household consumption. "Headwinds from weak global demand, volatility in global financial markets, geopolitical tensions and geoeconomic fragmentation, however, pose risks to the outlook," Das said. Taking all these factors into consideration, real GDP growth for 2023-24 is projected at 6.5 per cent with Q1 at 8 per cent; Q2 at 6.5 per cent; Q3 at 6.0 per cent; and Q4 at 5.7 per cent. Real GDP growth for Q1 of 2024-25 is projected at 6.6 per cent. On inflation, the governor said the spike in vegetable prices, led

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Four major western banks cut China's 2023 GDP forecast as recovery falters

UBS, Standard Chartered, Bank of America (BoA) and JPMorgan now expect China's GDP growth to be between 5.2% and 5.7% this year, down from an earlier range of 5.7% to 6.3%