Page 11 - Global Economy

'Thai economy shrinks, adds to rate cut case amid central bank, PM feud'

From a year earlier, GDP grew 1.7%, faster than revised 1.4% growth in the third quarter but slower than a forecast 2.5% expansion

Chinese minister says trying to cut country out of trade would be mistake

China's foreign minister told a gathering of international security policy officials Saturday that trying to shut China out of trade in the name of avoiding dependency would be a historic mistake. Wang Yi spoke at the Munich Security Conference. Host Germany wants to avoid over-reliance on trade with an increasingly assertive China and diversify its supply of key goods in an approach it calls de-risking. That's in line with the approach of other industrial powers in the Group of Seven, which has stressed that it doesn't seek to harm China or thwart its development. Beijing has criticized the strategy. Today ... more people have come to realize that the absence of cooperation is the biggest risk, Wang said through an interpreter. Those who attempt to shut China out in the name of de-risking will make a historical mistake. The world economy is like a big ocean that cannot be cut into isolated lakes, he added. The trend toward economic globalisation cannot be reversed. We need to wor

Russian central bank holds interest rate at 16% after months of tightening

Russia's domestic demand was still outstripping production capacity, the bank said, with labour shortages still the key constraint on expanding the output of goods and services

German economy to shrink by 0.5% in 2024 on weak domestic demand: Report

A DIHK poll of more than 27,000 companies showed that of those surveyed, 35% expect business to deteriorate in the next 12 months with only 14% expecting an improvement

India set to boost its economic, geopolitical role: Nobel Laureate Spence

India is poised to boost its economic and geopolitical role in the coming decades, helped by an evolving demographic dividend, rapidly expanding digital economy and GDP growth rates that top the world's major economies, Nobel Laureate Michael Spence has said. Spence further said India's leap on the technology front will be a key catalyst for the economic expansion of the nation, currently the world's fifth biggest economy and its pivotal position in international affairs. "As somebody who has spent the last 25 years thinking about growth in one form or another in virtually every corner of the world, let me just say that the major economy with the highest potential growth rate is India," he told ET NOW. The eminent economist noted that India has successfully developed, by far, the best digital economy and financial architecture in the world. "It is a transformational architecture," he said. Spence said the relatively open global economic system that has been in place for over 70 ye

Falling US Fed rate cut bets keep gold below $2,000 level, palladium up 7%

Spot gold was down 0.2% to $1,988.08 per ounce as of 9:53 a.m. EST (1453 GMT) - its lowest price since Dec. 13. Bullion fell about 1.4% on Tuesday

Japan growth data set to confirm its slip to 4th-largest economy last year

While the economy is seen returning to annualized growth of 1.2% in the fourth quarter after a bruising contraction in the summer

Need to grow at 7-8% to become developed nation by 2047: Ex-RBI Guv

India needs to grow at seven to eight per cent annually in order to become a developed nation with USD 13000 per capita income by 2047, former Reserve Bank Governor C Rangarajan said on Tuesday. Asserting that innovation cannot be a single solution to reduce inequalities or poverty, the former Chairman of the Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council said besides faster growth rate, the country may need social safety nets such as subsidies in kind of cash and basic income. I would say that the real growth between 7 per cent and 8 per cent will take it closer to the developed economy, because the developed economy by definition shows per capita income of USD 13,000 or more. India's per capita income is now at USD 2700. That means per capita income will have to increase by five times, he told PTI. According to him, if the exchange rate is kept at a lower level or if the prices go up then nominal income will increase, then India can become a developed nation. Therefore, I am saying t

Global economy to see soft landing, rate cuts coming, says IMF's Georgieva

She cautioned to expect the unexpected in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and said a prolonged war between Israel and Hamas would impact global economies

In an election year, markets typically flourish, says Arbind Maheswari

Historically, the markets tend to perform well during election years as governments aim to increase spending and call attention to growth, he said

ECB needs to start cutting interest rates soon, says Fabio Panetta

"Macroeconomic conditions suggest that disinflation is at an advanced stage, and progress toward the 2% target continues to be rapid," he said on Saturday at the annual Assiom Forex event in Genoa

China's consumer prices suffer steepest fall in more than 14 years

Citigroup economists said in a research note last week that they expect mild reflation in 2024, and forecast annual CPI inflation at 1.2 per cent year-on-year

Too soon to declare victory over inflation: OECD tells central banks

Global economic growth is proving more resilient and inflation in the US and Europe is easing faster than the organization expected in its November outlook

Don't count on a soft landing for the global economy

Despite the relatively buoyant consensus, recent developments suggest that the risks to global growth are still tilted to the downside

Bank of England keeps rates unchanged at 5.25%, may cut if inflation falls

The pound erased earlier losses and investors trimmed bets on the extent of Bank Rate cuts but still saw four reductions in 2024, a view that Bailey said he did not want to challenge

US worker productivity strong in fourth quarter; weekly jobless claims rise

Nonfarm productivity, which measures hourly output per worker, increased at a 3.2% annualized rate last quarter, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Thursday

Global affairs becoming more complex, challenging with wars: FM Sitharaman

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Thursday said the global situation is becoming more complex and challenging due to wars and conflicts in different parts of the world. The Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Israel-Hamas war have disrupted the global supply chains, impacting trade. The minister, while presenting the interim Budget, said that the new world order is emerging and India has successfully navigated the global challenges in fuel and fertiliser price spike. She also said that strengthening the financial sector in the country has helped make savings, credit and investments more efficient. All forms of infrastructure are being built in record time, she said. The government has also provided transparent, accountable, trust-based administration with a citizen-first approach.

China merges hundreds of rural banks amid looming financial crisis

After engineering mergers of rural cooperatives and rural commercial banks in at least seven provinces since 2022

10-year bond yield declines below 4% as investors await US Fed

The Federal Reserve two-day policy meeting will conclude this afternoon. Markets have priced in a near-certainty that the central bank will leave benchmark interest rates in their current range

German unemployment edges down by 2,000 to 2.694 million in January

The Federal Labour Office said the number of people out of work decreased by 2,000 in seasonally adjusted terms from December to 2.694 million