India is likely to clock a GDP growth of 7.5-7.8 per cent in the current fiscal, supported by festive demand and robust services activity, and moderate to 6.6-6.9 per cent in FY27 on a high base and persistent global uncertainties, Deloitte India said on Wednesday. For India, 2025 will be remembered as the year of "resilience" in domestic demand, decisive reforms in fiscal, monetary and labour policies, and recalibrations in trade policies. Real GDP grew 8 per cent in the first half (April-September) of the ongoing 2025-26 fiscal despite global headwinds such as trade disruptions, policy shifts in advanced economies, and volatile capital flows. Deloitte India expects full year GDP growth at 7.5-7.8 per cent for FY2025-26, supported by festive demand and robust services activity. Furthermore, growth may moderate to 6.6-6.9 per cent in FY2026-27, reflecting a high base and persistent global uncertainties, it said in a statement. "India's resilience is no accident. It stems from ...
BMI, a Fitch Group company, on Monday forecast a 7.4 per cent growth for the current fiscal and 7 per cent for FY27 saying a favourable policy environment bode well for India's economic outlook. It said that monetary and regulatory measures should stimulate investment and consumption over 2026-27 fiscal. "A strong advanced estimate of the current fiscal year's GDP, rising US-bound merchandise exports during the past two months, and a favourable policy environment bode well for India's economic outlook," BMI said in a report. The National Statistics Office (NSO) has projected a 7.4 per cent GDP expansion for FY2025/26 (April-March). This implies the government expects GDP will grow by around 7 per cent Y-o-Y on average in the second half of the fiscal year. The Indian economy grew at 6.5 per cent in 2024-25 fiscal. BMI revised upwards GDP forecast for 2025-26 to 7.4 per cent, up from 7.2 per cent projected earlier. It now expects GDP to rise by 7 per cent in FY2026-27, up from 6.6
India's economy is expected to grow at 7.5 per cent in 2025-26 with upward bias, marginally higher from NSO's estimate of 7.4 per cent, according to a report by State Bank of India. The First Advance Estimates released by National Statistics Office (NSO) on Wednesday put GDP growth in 2025-26 at 7.4 per cent as compared to 6.5 per cent in the previous fiscal. The RBI has projected the growth rate at 7.3 per cent. The gross value added (GVA) growth is estimated at 7.3 per cent and nominal GDP expansion at 8 per cent. Historically, the difference between Reserve Bank's estimate and NSO's estimate is 20-30 basis points and hence the 7.4 per cent estimate is quite expected and reasonable, said the research report from SBI's Economic Research Department. "We, however, believe that GDP growth for FY26 would be around 7.5 per cent with upward bias. The second advance estimates, incorporating additional data and revisions, are scheduled to be released on February 27, 2026. "So, all these
India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) on Tuesday projected Indian economy to grow at 6.9 per cent in the 2026-27 fiscal year beginning April 1 saying key reforms like GST and income tax cuts, and trade pacts will act as economic catalyst and shield economy from global turbulence. The economy will continue to be in 'Goldilocks' situation of high growth and retail inflation averaging 3.8 per cent in the next fiscal as well, and Indo-US trade deal with reduced tariffs will add to the GDP growth numbers, said Ind-Ra, Chief Economist, Devendra Kumar Pant. For the current fiscal, Ind-Ra projected real GDP growth at 7.4 per cent, while nominal GDP expansion at 9 per cent. Ind-Ra expects the Indian Rupee to average 92.26 to a dollar in FY27, higher than 88.64 to a dollar in the current fiscal. The Union government's debt as a percentage of GDP is projected to come down to 55.5 per cent in FY27, from an estimated 56.3 per cent in the current fiscal. The government estimates to bring down debt
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Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran expressed hope that the currency will recover next year
OECD has kept India's FY26 growth forecast unchanged at 6.7% and FY27 at 6.2%, citing easing monetary policy and public capex, while warning that higher US tariffs could hit exports
The GDP estimates by National Statistical Office for the second quarter have however surpassed even the most upbeat estimates on the street by miles
India's GDP growth saw a six-quarter high of 8.2% in Q2 FY2026, increasing over the 7.8% growth seen in the first quarter of this fiscal
Real GDP for the quarter stood at ₹48.63 trillion, up from ₹44.94 trillion in Q2 FY25
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Nageswaran noted that the country should register growth and progress with the environment taken into account
Lower deflators are expected to lift real growth again, offsetting weak corporate numbers and muted nominal expansion
High-income states, which account for 26 per cent of India's population, contribute 44 per cent of GDP, while low-income states, with 38 per cent of the population, generate only 19 per cent of GDP, a divergence that is worrisome, NITI Aayog Vice-Chairman Suman Bery said. Delivering a lecture on India's Macro Challenge: Generating and Financing a Big Investment Push' at the 6th Economics Conclave at the School of Economics, University of Hyderabad here, on Monday, he said, "The development strategy that's appropriate for Tamil Nadu and for Bihar or Uttar Pradesh will necessarily be very different." "And so it is the case that there has been divergence, and that's something we need to worry about. As you see, high-income states account for 26 per cent of the population but 44 per cent of GDP, while low-income states have 38 per cent of the population but only 19 per cent of GDP," he said. Bery added, "I do want to bring to the Indian context the point that I made in a global ...
After slashing repo rates for three consecutive months since February, the MPC kept the rate unchanged at 5.5 per cent in August
The 7.8 per cent GDP growth in the June quarter outperformed the Reserve Bank of India's expectation of 6.5 per cent growth during the August monetary policy meeting
High tariffs imposed by the United States on Indian goods pose a major risk to the country's growth, Crisil Intelligence said in its September report. The tariffs will impact both Indian goods exports and investments, the report added. However, domestic consumption, driven by benign inflation and rate cuts, is expected to support growth, it said. The country's GDP rose to a five-quarter high of 7.8 per cent in the first quarter of fiscal 2025-26, up from 7.4 per cent in the similar quarter in the previous year. Nominal GDP growth, however, slowed to 8.8 per cent from 10.8 per cent during the same period, it added. The report said consumer price index (CPI) inflation is likely to soften to 3.5 per cent in the current fiscal from 4.6 per cent in the previous year. Healthy agricultural growth is expected to keep food inflation under check, though the impact of excess rain was yet to be fully assessed. Lower crude prices and benign global commodity prices are expected to contain non
Union Minister Nitin Gadkari on Wednesday stressed on the need to increase the share of agriculture and allied sector in the GDP to at least 26 per cent from the present 18 per cent to make India self-reliant. Addressing an annual general meeting of Crop Care Federation of India, Gadkari, the Union Road Transport and Highways Minister, emphasised on reducing the cost of production to make agriculture sector economically viable. To cut input costs, he called upon the farm equipment manufacturers to make electric as well as flex-engine tractors. Gadkari also asked the agro-chemicals industry to focus on introducing affordable bio-pesticides and bio-insecticides products by undertaking intensive research & development (R&D) works. He also told the industry to produce basic raw material in India itself and reduce import dependency to ensure the quality of the finished agro-chemicals. Talking about the agriculture sector, Gadkari said the farm sector is the backbone of our ...